Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Žilina Region Governor Election Winner

Name: Žilina Region Governor Election Winner
End: 2026-10-25T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$12.69K

Events

Markets

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Žilina Region Governor Election Winner

Vol

$12.69K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $12.69K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.69K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Poly	78%
Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Poly	15%
Will Martin Kapitulík win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Poly	6%
Will Anna Belousovová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Poly	6%
Will Adam Lučanský win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

Top Probability

$12.69K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Žilina Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporti

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Žilina Region Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 25, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Žilina Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporti

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Žilina Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $36.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.34)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $9.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Martin Kapitulík win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $543
  DATA: [Yes: 6.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Anna Belousovová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $349
  DATA: [Yes: 5.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Adam Lučanský win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $447
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics