Name: Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Mar 2 at ___?
End: 2026-03-06T21:00:00.000Z

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Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Mar 2 at ___? | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	Poly	28%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	Poly	28%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	Poly	26%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $380-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	Poly	25%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	Poly	24%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $410-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	Poly	20%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	Poly	20%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $430-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	Poly	20%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	Poly	18%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $360-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	Poly	18%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	Poly	10%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Mar 2 at ___?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 6, 2026 (5 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final session of th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $542
* **Total Liquidity:** $18.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $259
  DATA: [Yes: 23.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $360-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $99
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $380-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $410-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $430-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 18.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $34
  DATA: [Yes: 10.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

4d 12h remaining

Mar 06, 2026 9:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

21¢

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Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Mar 2 at ___?

Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Mar 2 at ___?

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Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)

Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Mar 2 at ___?

Markets (11)

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $380-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $380-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Mar 2 at ___?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $380-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $380-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

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