Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?

Name: Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$78.53K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $78.53K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $78.53K

100%

Polymarket leads

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1 market tracked

Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?	Poly	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

14%

Top Probability

$78.53K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

If Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New York City, and setting foot on the ground. Whether or not Netanyahu enters New York City's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolutio

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (75 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** If Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New York City, and setting foot on the ground. Whether or not Netanyahu enters New York City's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolutio

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New Yo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $78.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.1K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 25.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $78.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

74d 15h remaining

Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

14¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/zK3a_8" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?"></iframe>

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Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?

Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?

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Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)