Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Name: Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
End: 2026-10-27T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$43.78K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Vol

$43.78K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $43.78K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $43.78K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	93%
Will Ewa Pajor win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	3%
Will Claudia Pina win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	2%
Will Caroline Graham Hansen win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	1%
Will Klara Buhl win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	1%
Will Temwa Chawinga win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	1%
Will Aitana Bonmati win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Patri Guijarro win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Alessia Russo win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Chloe Kelly win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Lucy Bronze win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Sandy Baltimore win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Barbra Banda win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Lea Schuller win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Lindsey Heaps win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Salma Paralluelo win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Vicky Lopez win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Hannah Hampton win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Sofia Cantore win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%
Will Mariona Caldentey win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$43.78K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 27, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market wil"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $43.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $90.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.48)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aitana Bonmati win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $28.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Mariona Caldentey win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $607
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Patri Guijarro win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $651
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ewa Pajor win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Alessia Russo win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $626
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Chloe Kelly win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $626
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Lucy Bronze win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $626
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Sandy Baltimore win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $626
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Barbra Banda win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $626
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Klara Buhl win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Lea Schuller win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $626
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Caroline Graham Hansen win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $762
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Lindsey Heaps win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $626
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Salma Paralluelo win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $586
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Claudia Pina win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Vicky Lopez win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $631
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Hannah Hampton win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $606
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Temwa Chawinga win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $941
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Sofia Cantore win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $566
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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