Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” Sale Price

Name: Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” Sale Price
End: 2026-10-07T15:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$349.01

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” Sale Price

Vol

$349.01

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $349.01

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $349.01

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $600k at auction?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $600k at auction?	Poly	49%
Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $700k at auction?	Poly	49%
Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $900k at auction?	Poly	49%
Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $1.1m at auction?	Poly	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

Top Probability

$349.01

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” is expected to be sold at auction on October 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final auction sale price paid for Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the final "Lot Sold" price as reported in

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” Sale Price
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 7, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” is expected to be sold at auction on October 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final auction sale price paid for Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the final "Lot Sold" price as reported in

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” is expected to be sold at auction on October 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final auction sale price paid for Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If no sale is"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $349
* **Total Liquidity:** $6
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 54.66)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $600k at auction?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 7, 2026): Vol $85
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $700k at auction?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 7, 2026): Vol $83
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $900k at auction?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 7, 2026): Vol $83
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $1.1m at auction?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 7, 2026): Vol $97
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture