GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Minnesota State Senate winner?

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Minnesota State Senate winner?

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

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2 markets tracked

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Democratic party)

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Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Democratic party)	Kalshi	78%
Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Republican party)	Kalshi	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

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$0.00

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About This Event

Minnesota State Senate If X party wins the Minnesota State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close early following a wi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Minnesota State Senate winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Minnesota State Senate

If X party wins the Minnesota State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close early following a wi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Republican party wins the Minnesota State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market r"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Republican party)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Democratic party)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Minnesota State Senate winner?

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KALSHI

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Democratic party)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.5¢No 22.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Democratic party)

If the Democratic party wins the Minnesota State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market r

KALSHI

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Republican party)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Republican party)

If the Republican party wins the Minnesota State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market r

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/zUXe6l" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Minnesota State Senate winner?"></iframe>

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Minnesota State Senate winner?

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Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Democratic party)

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Events (1)

Minnesota State Senate winner?

Markets (2)

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Democratic party)

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Democratic party)

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Republican party)

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Republican party)

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Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Democratic party)

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Minnesota State Senate winner?

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Democratic party)

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Democratic party)

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Republican party)

Who will win the Minnesota State Senate? (Republican party)

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