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Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35

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When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35

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7 markets tracked

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Nov 1, 2026)	Kalshi	92%
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Oct 1, 2026)	Kalshi	82%
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Sep 4, 2026)	Kalshi	60%
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 28, 2026)	Kalshi	43%
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 21, 2026)	Kalshi	30%
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 14, 2026)	Kalshi	22%
When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 7, 2026)	Kalshi	13%

AI Analysis

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Dragon CRS-35 Launch If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before X Y 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Dragon CRS-35 Launch

If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before X Y 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Sep 4, 2026)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 11, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Oct 1, 2026)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Nov 1, 2026)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 28, 2026)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 21, 2026)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 14, 2026)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 7, 2026)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35

Volume$0.00

Markets7

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KALSHI

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHITech

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

KALSHI

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Oct 1, 2026)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢

KALSHITech

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Oct 1, 2026)

If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

KALSHI

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Sep 4, 2026)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 60.0¢No 40.0¢

KALSHITech

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Sep 4, 2026)

If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

KALSHI

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 28, 2026)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.0¢No 57.0¢

KALSHITech

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 28, 2026)

If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Aug 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

KALSHI

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 21, 2026)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.0¢No 70.0¢

KALSHITech

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 21, 2026)

If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.

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When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35

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When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

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Events (1)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35

Markets (7)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Oct 1, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Oct 1, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Sep 4, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Sep 4, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 28, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 28, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 21, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 21, 2026)

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When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

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When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Oct 1, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Oct 1, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Sep 4, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Sep 4, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 28, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 28, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 21, 2026)

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? (Before Aug 21, 2026)

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