Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Diesel prices tomorrow

Total Volume

$33.47K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Diesel prices tomorrow

Vol

$33.47K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $33.47K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $33.47K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.235?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.235?	Kalshi	100%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.230?	Kalshi	100%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.225?	Kalshi	100%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.250?	Kalshi	99%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.255?	Kalshi	98%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.245?	Kalshi	96%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.240?	Kalshi	96%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.260?	Kalshi	85%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.265?	Kalshi	79%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.270?	Kalshi	78%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.315?	Kalshi	49%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.275?	Kalshi	47%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.280?	Kalshi	27%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.320?	Kalshi	25%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.285?	Kalshi	4%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.310?	Kalshi	2%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.290?	Kalshi	2%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.325?	Kalshi	1%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.305?	Kalshi	1%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.300?	Kalshi	1%
Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.295?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$33.47K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October 12, 2026 If the Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Diesel prices tomorrow
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 12, 2026

If the Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 is above $6.325, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $33.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.325?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.320?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.315?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.310?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.305?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.300?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.295?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.290?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.285?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.280?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $117
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.275?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $240
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.270?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $338
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.265?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.260?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.255?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.250?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $103
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.245?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.240?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.235?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.230?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.225?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Diesel prices tomorrow

Volume$33.47K

Markets21

21 of 21

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.235?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.235?

If the Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 is above $6.235, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.230?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.230?

If the Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 is above $6.230, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.225?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.225?

If the Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 is above $6.225, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.250?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.250?

If the Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 is above $6.250, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.255?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.255?

If the Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 is above $6.255, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

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52¢

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Diesel prices tomorrow

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Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.235?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Diesel prices tomorrow

Markets (21)

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.235?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.235?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.230?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.230?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.225?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.225?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.250?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.250?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.255?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.255?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.235?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Diesel prices tomorrow

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.235?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.235?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.230?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.230?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.225?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.225?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.250?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.250?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.255?

Will Diesel Price on October 12, 2026 be above $6.255?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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