Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?

Total Volume

$48.36K

Events

Markets

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Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?

Vol

$48.36K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $48.36K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $48.36K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	94%
Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	8%
Will democracy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	7%
Will crime be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	2%
Will abortion be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	2%
Will immigration be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	1%
Will health care be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$48.36K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Nov 3, 2026 If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps X then the market resolves to Yes. The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for every answer choice that maps to it on the national U.S. House exit poll's most-important-issue question as displayed by the source, whatever its exact title. If more than one such question is displayed, the one asking

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Nov 3, 2026

If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps X then the market resolves to Yes. The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for every answer choice that maps to it on the national U.S. House exit poll's most-important-issue question as displayed by the source, whatever its exact title. If more than one such question is displayed, the one asking 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Immigration, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for e"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $48.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will immigration be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 6, 2027): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will health care be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 6, 2027): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 6, 2027): Vol $13.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 6, 2027): Vol $8.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will democracy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 6, 2027): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will crime be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 6, 2027): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will abortion be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 6, 2027): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?

Volume$48.36K

Markets7

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KALSHI

Will the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Economy and cost of living, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of a

KALSHI

Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Iran war and foreign policy, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of

KALSHI

Will democracy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will democracy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Democracy, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for eve

KALSHI

Will crime be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will crime be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Crime, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for every a

KALSHI

Will abortion be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will abortion be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Abortion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for ever

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/zZJ0rx" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?"></iframe>

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Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?

Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?

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Will the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?

Markets (7)

Will the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will democracy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will democracy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will crime be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will crime be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will abortion be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will abortion be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?

Will the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will the economy and cost of living be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will democracy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will democracy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will crime be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will crime be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will abortion be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Will abortion be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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