Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout

Total Volume

$17.90K

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Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout

Vol

$17.90K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $17.90K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $17.90K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?	Kalshi	99%
Will at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?	Kalshi	99%
Will at least 123,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?	Kalshi	93%
Will at least 124,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?	Kalshi	74%
Will at least 124,500,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?	Kalshi	60%
Will at least 125,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?	Kalshi	44%
Will at least 127,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?	Kalshi	6%
Will at least 129,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$17.90K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

On Oct 25, 2026 If at least X votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. The count is the total of voters who voted, comparecimento, in the presidential contest of the second round, runoff, of Brazil’s 2026 general election, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE, including those who cast blank or null votes. Registered voters, abstentions, justified absences and ballots in other

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 25, 2026

If at least X votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. The count is the total of voters who voted, comparecimento, in the presidential contest of the second round, runoff, of Brazil’s 2026 general election, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE, including those who cast blank or null votes. Registered voters, abstentions, justified absences and ballots in other 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If at least 124,500,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of voters who voted (comparecimento) in the presidential contest of the second round (runo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $17.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will at least 124,500,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will at least 124,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will at least 129,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will at least 127,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will at least 125,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $9.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will at least 123,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $8.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $93
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $99
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout

Volume$17.90K

Markets8

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KALSHI

Will at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

If at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of voters who voted (comparecimento) in the presidential contest of the second round (runo

KALSHI

Will at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

If at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of voters who voted (comparecimento) in the presidential contest of the second round (runo

KALSHI

Will at least 123,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 123,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

If at least 123,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of voters who voted (comparecimento) in the presidential contest of the second round (runo

KALSHI

Will at least 124,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 124,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

If at least 124,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of voters who voted (comparecimento) in the presidential contest of the second round (runo

KALSHI

Will at least 124,500,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 59.5¢No 40.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 124,500,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

If at least 124,500,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of voters who voted (comparecimento) in the presidential contest of the second round (runo

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59¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/za3e2D" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout"></iframe>

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Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout

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Will at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout

Markets (8)

Will at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 123,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 123,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 124,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 124,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 124,500,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 124,500,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

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Will at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout

Will at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 123,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 123,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 124,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 124,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 124,500,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will at least 124,500,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the runoff of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

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