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| Market | Platform | Price |
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![]() | Poly | 51% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the WBB game between IU Indy Jaguars and Youngstown State Penguins on January 17 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets are pricing in a near-toss-up for this women's college basketball game. On Polymarket, the contract for the IU Indy Jaguars to win is trading at approximately 51%, implying the market assigns them a razor-thin advantage. A 51% chance suggests the market sees this game as essentially a coin flip, with a slight statistical edge to the home team. The corresponding implied probability for a Youngstown State Penguins victory is therefore around 49%.
The pricing reflects two primary factors. First, the game is being played at Indiana University Indianapolis, providing a potential home-court advantage for the Jaguars, which is often factored into close market prices. Second, both teams compete in the Horizon League, where matchups are typically competitive. The current odds suggest the market perceives minimal separation in team strength or recent form, leading to a highly efficient, near-even price. There is no overwhelming public betting sentiment on either side.
The primary catalyst for a price shift will be the release of official injury reports or starting lineups closer to game time on January 17. A key player being ruled out for either team could move the probability significantly. Additionally, any sharp, last-minute betting action from informed sources could sway the market a few percentage points in either direction. Given the current equilibrium, even minor news is likely to have an outsized impact on the final odds before the 2:00 PM ET tip-off.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
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This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game scheduled for January 17 at 2:00 PM Eastern Time between the IU Indianapolis Jaguars and the Youngstown State Penguins. The market allows participants to wager on which team will win the contest, with specific rules governing postponements and cancellations. This game is a conference matchup within the Horizon League, a Division I athletic conference in the NCAA, making it a significant event for both teams' standings and postseason aspirations. The IU Indianapolis Jaguars, formerly known as IUPUI until a university rebranding in 2024, compete as a member of the Horizon League after joining in 2022. The Youngstown State Penguins have been a longstanding member of the conference. Interest in this market stems from fans, alumni, and sports bettors tracking team performance, conference rivalries, and the implications for the Horizon League women's basketball tournament seeding. Recent developments include both teams navigating the early portion of their conference schedules, with each game carrying increased weight as the season progresses toward March.
The competitive history between these programs is relatively new, defined by IUI's recent entry into the Horizon League. The series began in the 2022-2023 season when IUPUI (now IU Indianapolis) joined the conference. In their first meeting on January 5, 2023, Youngstown State secured a 72-60 victory at home. The Penguins also won the return fixture later that season. During the 2023-2024 campaign, the teams split their two regular-season meetings, with each winning on their home court, indicating a developing rivalry. Historically, Youngstown State has been a more established program within the league, making multiple postseason tournament appearances over the past decade. In contrast, IU Indianapolis is navigating a period of significant change, having rebranded from IUPUI and undergoing a coaching change in 2024, which adds an element of program identity to this matchup. The game on January 17 continues this nascent conference rivalry with implications for mid-season positioning.
Beyond the immediate game result, this matchup matters for the competitive landscape and financial ecosystem of mid-major women's college basketball. A win contributes directly to a team's conference record, which determines seeding for the Horizon League Tournament. Only the tournament champion receives an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament, making every conference game critical for postseason dreams. For the athletes, strong performances in league play enhance individual recognition and potential professional opportunities. For the universities, success in revenue-neutral sports like women's basketball can boost campus morale, alumni engagement, and student recruitment. The game also represents a data point for the broader evaluation of the Horizon League's strength relative to other conferences, which can influence future media rights negotiations and the allocation of NCAA revenue units.
As of early January 2025, both teams are engaged in their Horizon League conference schedules. The specific records and momentum for each team leading into the January 17 contest will be established in games played earlier in the month. The latest developments will include results from their first few conference games, any significant player injuries or returns, and adjustments made by both coaching staffs. The status of the game itself is scheduled as planned, with no announced postponements. Bettors and fans are monitoring these preliminary results to gauge team form ahead of this matchup.
The broadcast details for Horizon League women's basketball games are typically announced closer to the game date. The matchup will likely be streamed on ESPN+ or broadcast on a regional sports network affiliated with the Horizon League, such as ESPN3 or local affiliates.
The Youngstown State Penguins play their home women's basketball games at the Beeghly Center, located on the university's campus in Youngstown, Ohio. The arena has a seating capacity of approximately 6,300 for basketball games.
Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI) was formally rebranded as Indiana University Indianapolis (IU Indianapolis) in 2024. This change dissolved the long-standing partnership with Purdue University at the Indianapolis campus, with Purdue engineering and science programs moving to a new institution. The athletic teams, formerly the IUPUI Jaguars, are now the IU Indianapolis Jaguars.
The Horizon League Women's Basketball Tournament typically includes all member teams. It uses a seeding format based on regular-season conference records, with higher seeds hosting games on campus sites. The tournament champion wins the league's automatic bid to the NCAA Division I Women's Basketball Tournament.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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