Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Central Espanol vs Nacional: Spread

Total Volume

$4.03K

Events

Markets

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Central Espanol vs Nacional: Spread

Vol

$4.03K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $4.03K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.03K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	32%
Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	14%
Central Espanol wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	3%
Central Espanol wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

32%

Top Probability

$4.03K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

ESP vs NAC (Oct 11) If Nacional wins by more than X goals in the Central Espanol vs Nacional professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owner

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Central Espanol vs Nacional: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** ESP vs NAC (Oct 11)

If Nacional wins by more than X goals in the Central Espanol vs Nacional professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owner

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Central Espanol vs Nacional professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $730
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Central Espanol wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Central Espanol wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Central Espanol vs Nacional: Spread

Volume$4.03K

Markets4

4 of 4

Sort:

KALSHI

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Central Espanol vs Nacional professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi

KALSHI

Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Central Espanol vs Nacional professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi

KALSHI

Central Espanol wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Central Espanol wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Central Espanol wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Central Espanol vs Nacional professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules:

KALSHI

Central Espanol wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Central Espanol wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Central Espanol wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Central Espanol vs Nacional professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules:

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Average Yes Price

12¢

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Central Espanol vs Nacional: Spread

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Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Central Espanol vs Nacional: Spread

Markets (4)

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Central Espanol wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Central Espanol wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Central Espanol wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Central Espanol wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Central Espanol vs Nacional: Spread

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Central Espanol wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Central Espanol wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Central Espanol wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Central Espanol wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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