Name: Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC
End: 2026-01-30T08:35:00.000Z

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Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-30?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-30?	Poly	48%
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-30?	Poly	47%
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?	Poly	47%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 30, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Friday, January 30, 2026 between Adelaide United FC and Macarthur FC.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 30, 2026
If Adelaide United FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $244
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

13d 20h remaining

Jan 30, 2026 8:35 AM

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Average Yes Price

47¢

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Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC

Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC

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Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-30?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC

Markets (3)

Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-30?

Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-30?

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-30?

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-30?

Will Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?

Will Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?

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Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-30?

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Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC

Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-30?

Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-30?

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-30?

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-30?

Will Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?

Will Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?

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