Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M15 Burgas: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Jannik Maute

Name: M15 Burgas: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Jannik Maute
End: 2026-10-13T07:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$892.54

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

M15 Burgas: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Jannik Maute

Vol

$892.54

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $892.54

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $892.54

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Mordini vs. Maute: Match Over/Under 21.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Mordini vs. Maute: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	50%
Mordini vs. Maute: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	50%
Mordini vs. Maute: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$892.54

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Jannik Maute in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini advances against Jannik Maute. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Maute' if Jannik Maute advances against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner ha

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M15 Burgas: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Jannik Maute
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Jannik Maute in the M15 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini advances against Jannik Maute.

This market will resolve to 'Jannik Maute' if Jannik Maute advances against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner ha

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Jannik Maute in the M15 Burgas, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Un"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Mordini vs. Maute: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Mordini vs. Maute: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Mordini vs. Maute: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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