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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?
Vol

PM $16.6K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31, 2027 at 44.5%.

Polymarket

  1. December 31, 202744.5%
  2. December 31, 202623%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $16.6K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

HTSUS statistical line 8544.49.3040 targets insulated copper conductors, over 600V up to 1,000V, not fitted with connectors. This market will resolve to “Yes” if a legally operative Section 232 instrument subjects all articles under this line to a duty above 0%, a tariff-rate quota, an absolute quota, or another quantitative restriction by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, legally operative Section 232 instruments include but are not limited to: a presidential proclamation, a Commerce-USTR determination under that proclamation's clause 11 process, another Federal Register or chapter 99 action under Section 232 authority, or an Act of Congress. A qualifying instrument may name the line itself or any broader provision that fully includes it (e.g., tariff line 8544.49.30, subheading 8544.49, or heading 8544). If USITC renumbers the line, its successor will count the same way. A qualifying instrument must be enacted, signed, or otherwise put into legal operation by the specified date, regardless of whether the instrument stipulates a later date of enforcement. Tariff imposition will qualify regardless of whether there exist 0% in-quota rates, country carve-outs, metal-content thresholds, phased effective dates, or other conditions. Only tariffs imposed on HTSUS statistical line 8544.49.3040 will qualify. Coverage of only a subset or end use (e.g., wind-turbine or data-center cable only), additions limited to sister line 8544.49.3080, investigation steps, reports, proposals, or announcements without a signed operative instrument, one chamber passage, instruments whose only effect is a 0% rate or an exemption, and tariffs under any other authority (e.g., Section 301, IEEPA, AD/CVD, reciprocal) will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiFinance
When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions?

When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions?

PM $16.6K · K 2.4K contracts

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will it be reported by the Federal Register that a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 before Jan 1, 2028?

Related contracts

PM Yes 44.5%Rules differK Yes 36%

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will it be reported by the Federal Register that a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 32%Rules differK Yes 27.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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