Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

SL Benfica vs Celtic: Spread

Total Volume

$313.00

Events

Markets

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SL Benfica vs Celtic: Spread

Vol

$313.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $313.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $313.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

SL Benfica wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
SL Benfica wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	57%
SL Benfica wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	35%
Celtic wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	6%
Celtic wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$313.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

BEN vs CEL (Oct 15) If Celtic wins by more than X goals in the SL Benfica vs Celtic professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** SL Benfica vs Celtic: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BEN vs CEL (Oct 15)

If Celtic wins by more than X goals in the SL Benfica vs Celtic professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Celtic wins by more than 2.5 goals in the SL Benfica vs Celtic professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $313
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Celtic wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $313
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Celtic wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. SL Benfica wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. SL Benfica wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

SL Benfica vs Celtic: Spread

Volume$313.00

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

SL Benfica wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

SL Benfica wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If SL Benfica wins by more than 1.5 goals in the SL Benfica vs Celtic professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliate

KALSHI

SL Benfica wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.0¢No 65.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

SL Benfica wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If SL Benfica wins by more than 2.5 goals in the SL Benfica vs Celtic professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliate

KALSHI

Celtic wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Celtic wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Celtic wins by more than 1.5 goals in the SL Benfica vs Celtic professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, a

KALSHI

Celtic wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Celtic wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Celtic wins by more than 2.5 goals in the SL Benfica vs Celtic professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, a

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Average Yes Price

25¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/zf2BpW" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="SL Benfica vs Celtic: Spread"></iframe>

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SL Benfica vs Celtic: Spread

SL Benfica vs Celtic: Spread

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SL Benfica wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

SL Benfica vs Celtic: Spread

Markets (4)

SL Benfica wins by more than 1.5 goals?

SL Benfica wins by more than 1.5 goals?

SL Benfica wins by more than 2.5 goals?

SL Benfica wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Celtic wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Celtic wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Celtic wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Celtic wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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SL Benfica wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

SL Benfica vs Celtic: Spread

SL Benfica wins by more than 1.5 goals?

SL Benfica wins by more than 1.5 goals?

SL Benfica wins by more than 2.5 goals?

SL Benfica wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Celtic wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Celtic wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Celtic wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Celtic wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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