GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

Name: MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs
End: 2026-10-11T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$35.73K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

Vol

$35.73K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $35.73K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $35.73K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will Kyle Schwarber hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kyle Schwarber hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	16%
Will Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	5%
Will Matt Olson hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	4%
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	4%
Will James Wood hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	3%
Will Yordan Alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	3%
Will Manny Machado hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	3%
Will Byron Buxton hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	3%
Will Miguel Vargas hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Munetaka Murakami hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Mike Trout hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Colson Montgomery hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Wilson Contreras hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Christian Walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Kazuma Okamoto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Andy Pages hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Jordan Walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Brandon Lowe hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Ketel Marte hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Juan Soto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Nick Kurtz hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Bryce Harper hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Dillon Dingler hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Junior Caminero hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	1%
Will Ben Rice hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	1%
Will CJ Abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	1%
Will Dansby Swanson hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	1%
Will Aaron Judge hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	1%
Will Shea Langeliers hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	1%
Will Pete Alonso hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

16%

Top Probability

$35.73K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 11, 2026 (37 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $35.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $169.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.21)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aaron Judge hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $554
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Junior Caminero hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $517
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yordan Alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Shohei Ohtani hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $172
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ben Rice hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $631
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Kyle Schwarber hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $548
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Byron Buxton hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will James Wood hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $774
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Colson Montgomery hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Bryce Harper hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $614
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Shea Langeliers hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $482
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Brandon Lowe hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Pete Alonso hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Matt Olson hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Munetaka Murakami hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $493
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Nick Kurtz hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $800
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Dillon Dingler hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will CJ Abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Christian Walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Kazuma Okamoto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $698
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Miguel Vargas hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Jordan Walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Wilson Contreras hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $985
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Ketel Marte hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $521
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Juan Soto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Mike Trout hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $427
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Manny Machado hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $358
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Andy Pages hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Dansby Swanson hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $917
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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