Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Hurricane Paulette category?

Total Volume

$3.42K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Hurricane Paulette category?

Vol

$3.42K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.42K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.42K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?	Kalshi	8%
Will Paulette become a Category 2 hurricane?	Kalshi	7%
Will Paulette become a Category 3 hurricane?	Kalshi	6%
Will Paulette become a Category 4 hurricane?	Kalshi	3%
Will Paulette become a Category 5 hurricane?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$3.42K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Hurricane Paulette If Paulette reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to X mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Hurricane Paulette category?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Hurricane Paulette

If Paulette reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to X mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Paulette reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Paulette become a Category 5 hurricane?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Paulette become a Category 4 hurricane?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $220
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Paulette become a Category 3 hurricane?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $220
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Paulette become a Category 2 hurricane?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $342
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $82
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Hurricane Paulette category?

Volume$3.42K

Markets5

5 of 5

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?

If Paulette reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.

KALSHI

Will Paulette become a Category 2 hurricane?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Paulette become a Category 2 hurricane?

If Paulette reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 96 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.

KALSHI

Will Paulette become a Category 3 hurricane?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Paulette become a Category 3 hurricane?

If Paulette reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 111 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.

KALSHI

Will Paulette become a Category 4 hurricane?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Paulette become a Category 4 hurricane?

If Paulette reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 130 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.

KALSHI

Will Paulette become a Category 5 hurricane?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Paulette become a Category 5 hurricane?

If Paulette reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

5¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/zjlwnk" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Hurricane Paulette category?"></iframe>

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Hurricane Paulette category?

Hurricane Paulette category?

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Will Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Hurricane Paulette category?

Markets (5)

Will Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 2 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 2 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 3 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 3 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 4 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 4 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 5 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 5 hurricane?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Hurricane Paulette category?

Will Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 2 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 2 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 3 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 3 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 4 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 4 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 5 hurricane?

Will Paulette become a Category 5 hurricane?

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