Bundesliga: 2027 Champion
PM $1.42M
1
18
Bundesliga: 2027 Champion
PM $1.42M
1
18
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Bayern Munich at 88.5%.
Polymarket
- Bayern Munich88.5%
- Borussia Dortmund5.5%
- Bayer Leverkusen1.7%
- SC Freiburg1.5%
- RB Leipzig0.9%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $1.42M
Reported volume · provider units
18
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
Each market in this sample asks whether a specific club will win the 2026-27 Bundesliga. The event states that it "will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga" [1]. If a listed team becomes unable to win under Bundesliga rules, its market resolves to "No" [1]. If the season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or has no declared winner within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The primary resolution source is official Bundesliga information, though "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].
Listed close times differ. The Bayern Munich, SC Freiburg, FC Augsburg, RB Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen, VfB Stuttgart, and Werder Bremen markets list an end time of 2027-06-15T03:59:00.000Z. The Borussia Dortmund, Eintracht Frankfurt, SV Elversberg, Hamburger SV, and Union Berlin markets show no end date in the saved record [1]. Check each contract's listed close before comparing them. A listed close date is a contract rule, not an announced event date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-15T16:13:13Z, and the source was retrieved at 16:56:20Z [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The Bayern Munich contract showed Yes at 0.825 and No at 0.175 [1]. Borussia Dortmund showed Yes at 0.07 [1]. The other included Yes prices ranged from 0.0025 to 0.0145 [1]. Each contract should be read on its own terms, since the prices are not averaged or combined here.
The sample is partial. The saved provider event contains 18 markets, and 12 are included [1]. Markets were selected by highest finite Yes price, then volume [1]. The six omitted markets are not shown, so their prices cannot be inferred from this sample, and it should not be treated as the full field.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it contains no news, standings, or trader counts. It covers one provider event on one platform, so it does not support cross-platform comparison. A difference in price between two contracts is not, by itself, an arbitrage opportunity, since their rules and close times may differ. The saved status is active, and no resolution appears in the evidence.
References
- Polymarket: Bundesliga: 2027 Champion. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
The Bundesliga is a professional association football league in Germany and the highest level of the German football league system [3]. It comprises 18 teams and operates a system of promotion and relegation with the 2. Bundesliga, and its seasons run from August to May [3]. This contract asks which club will win the 2026-27 Bundesliga, with one market for each listed team [1]. The 2026-27 season is the 64th season of the Bundesliga. According to its Wikipedia entry, it began on 28 August 2026 and is scheduled to conclude on 22 May 2027 [2]. The contract's listed end time is 15 June 2027 at 03:59 UTC, but that date appears in the contract rules and is not an announced date for the final match or the declared champion [1]. The contract rules describe three possible outcomes. A team's market resolves to "No" if it becomes impossible for that team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga under the league's rules, such as elimination in the playoffs [1]. If the season is cancelled, is postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise has no declared winner within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. Otherwise, the market resolves according to the team that wins the season [1].
Historical Context
The Bundesliga is described as Germany's premier men's football competition and the highest level of the German football league system [2][3]. Its winner qualifies for the DFL-Supercup, and all Bundesliga clubs take part in the DFB-Pokal cup competition [3]. The 2026-27 season is the 64th in the competition's history, and the supplied sources describe its start and scheduled end dates without reporting results [2].
Why It Matters
The contract measures which single club will be declared champion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga [1]. Because each team has its own market, the contract also tracks whether a specific club is still able to win the title, since a club eliminated from contention resolves to "No" [1]. The season's scheduled timing and format, including promotion and relegation, shape when a champion can be determined [2][3]. A market price reflects a snapshot of trading activity at one moment and is not an executable quote or a verified probability of the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens to a team's market if it is eliminated from title contention?
If it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga under the league's rules, such as elimination in the playoffs, that team's market resolves to "No" [1].
When does the market resolve to "Other"?
The market resolves to "Other" if the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe [1].
Which source determines the winner?
The primary resolution source is official information from the Bundesliga, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Does a season's scheduled end date mean the champion has been decided?
No. The Wikipedia entry describes the season as scheduled to conclude on 22 May 2027, which is a planned date rather than a report of results [2]. The contract's listed end time is a rule date and not an announced event date [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
NHL: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion
PM $113.2KNHL: 2027 Western Conference Champion
PM $42.2K
NBA: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion
PM $240.9K
NBA: 2027 Western Conference Champion
PM $112.5K
Bundesliga: Champion's Points Margin
K 85.86 contracts
2027 Pro Football Champion
PM $68.69M · K 192.96M contractsWill the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Kalshi: Will San Francisco win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
Same question, fine print differs
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Kalshi: Will Kansas City win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
Same question, fine print differs
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Kalshi: Will Buffalo win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
Same question, fine print differs
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
