Name: Top 14: Lyon Rugby vs Montauban
End: 2026-02-21T15:35:00.000Z

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Top 14: Lyon Rugby vs Montauban | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Lyon Rugby win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Lyon Rugby win?	Poly	99%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	47%
Will Montauban win?	Poly	23%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Top 14: Lyon Rugby vs Montauban
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 21, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Top 14 match between Lyon Rugby and Montauban, scheduled for February 14 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 14 2026
If Lyon Rugby wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.89)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Lyon Rugby win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 21, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 21, 2026): Vol $255
  DATA: [Yes: 46.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Montauban win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 21, 2026): Vol $702
  DATA: [Yes: 23.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

56¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/znyafo" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Top 14: Lyon Rugby vs Montauban"></iframe>

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Top 14: Lyon Rugby vs Montauban

Top 14: Lyon Rugby vs Montauban

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Will Lyon Rugby win?

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Events (1)

Top 14: Lyon Rugby vs Montauban

Markets (3)

Will Lyon Rugby win?

Will Lyon Rugby win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will Montauban win?

Will Montauban win?

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Will Lyon Rugby win?

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Top 14: Lyon Rugby vs Montauban

Will Lyon Rugby win?

Will Lyon Rugby win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will Montauban win?

Will Montauban win?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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