California Governor matchup? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

California Governor matchup?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

California Governor matchup?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	47%
Will Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton advance in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	32%
Will Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	8%
Will Xavier Becerra and Tom Steyer be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	6%
Will Tom Steyer and Chad Bianco be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	5%
Will Xavier Becerra and Chad Bianco be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	5%
Will Tom Steyer and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	4%
Will Tom Steyer and Katie Porter be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	4%
Will Steve Hilton and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	4%
Will Steve Hilton and Katie Porter be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	4%
Will Xavier Becerra and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	2%
Will Xavier Becerra and Katie Porter advance in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	1%
Will Steve Hilton and Eric Swalwell be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	1%
Will Katie Porter and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	1%
Will Katie Porter and Chad Bianco be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	1%
Will Eric Swalwell and Tom Steyer be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	1%
Will Eric Swalwell and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	1%
Will Eric Swalwell and Katie Porter be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	1%
Will Eric Swalwell and Chad Bianco be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	1%
Will Chad Bianco and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

47%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Jun 2026 If X advance in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: X conditions must be satisfied for the 2026 California gubernatorial primary. This market will close and expire ea

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, April 21, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** California Governor matchup?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Jun 2026

If X advance in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: X conditions must be satisfied for the 2026 California gubernatorial primary. This market will close and expire ea

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Xavier Becerra and Matt Mahan advance in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Xavier Becerra and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Xavier Becerra and Chad Bianco be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Xavier Becerra and Katie Porter advance in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Xavier Becerra and Tom Steyer be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton advance in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Tom Steyer and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Tom Steyer and Katie Porter be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Tom Steyer and Chad Bianco be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Steve Hilton and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Steve Hilton and Katie Porter be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Steve Hilton and Eric Swalwell be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Katie Porter and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Katie Porter and Chad Bianco be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Eric Swalwell and Tom Steyer be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Eric Swalwell and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Eric Swalwell and Katie Porter be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Eric Swalwell and Chad Bianco be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Chad Bianco and Matt Mahan be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

6¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/zoec-0" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="California Governor matchup?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

California Governor matchup?

California Governor matchup?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer be the nominees in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)