Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICrypto

How low will HYPE get in October?

Total Volume

$5.71K

Events

Markets

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How low will HYPE get in October?

Vol

$5.71K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $5.71K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.71K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $82.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $82.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	91%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $80.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	57%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $77.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	34%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $75.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	34%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $72.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	16%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $70.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $67.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $65.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $62.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $57.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $47.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $50.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $42.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $45.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$5.71K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below X then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minu

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How low will HYPE get in October?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below X then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minu

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $42.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $42.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $45.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $47.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $50.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $57.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $62.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $65.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $82.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $80.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $77.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $600
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $75.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $72.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $887
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $70.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $67.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $81
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICrypto

How low will HYPE get in October?

Volume$5.71K

Markets17

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KALSHI

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $82.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $82.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $82.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of

KALSHI

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $80.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.5¢No 42.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $80.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $80.00, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of

KALSHI

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $77.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 34.0¢No 66.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $77.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $77.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of

KALSHI

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $75.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $75.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $75.00, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of

KALSHI

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $72.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $72.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $72.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of

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17¢

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How low will HYPE get in October?

How low will HYPE get in October?

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Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $82.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

How low will HYPE get in October?

Markets (17)

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $82.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $82.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $80.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $80.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $77.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $77.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $75.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $75.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $72.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $72.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $82.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How low will HYPE get in October?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $82.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $82.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $80.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $80.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $77.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $77.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $75.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $75.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $72.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $72.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?

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