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Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?

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How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?

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13 markets tracked

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 1)

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Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 1)	Kalshi	98%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 2)	Kalshi	97%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 3)	Kalshi	95%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 4)	Kalshi	93%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 5)	Kalshi	83%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 6)	Kalshi	73%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 7)	Kalshi	61%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 8)	Kalshi	51%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 9)	Kalshi	38%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 10)	Kalshi	26%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 11)	Kalshi	15%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 12)	Kalshi	11%
How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 13)	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

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98%

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About This Event

after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027 If Rocket Lab Corporation has Above X launch after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purpose of this market, HASTE missions will not count.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027

If Rocket Lab Corporation has Above X launch after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purpose of this market, HASTE missions will not count.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Rocket Lab Corporation has Above 13 launch after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purpose of this market, HASTE missions will not count."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 13)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 12)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 11)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 10)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 9)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 8)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 7)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 6)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 5)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 4)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 3)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 2)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 1)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?

Volume$0.00

Markets13

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KALSHI

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 1)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 1)

If Rocket Lab Corporation has Above 1 launch after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purpose of this market, HASTE missions will not count.

KALSHI

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 2)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 2)

If Rocket Lab Corporation has Above 2 launch after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purpose of this market, HASTE missions will not count.

KALSHI

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 3)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 3)

If Rocket Lab Corporation has Above 3 launch after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purpose of this market, HASTE missions will not count.

KALSHI

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 4)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 4)

If Rocket Lab Corporation has Above 4 launch after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purpose of this market, HASTE missions will not count.

KALSHI

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 5)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.0¢No 17.0¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 5)

If Rocket Lab Corporation has Above 5 launch after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purpose of this market, HASTE missions will not count.

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How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 1)

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Events (1)

How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?

Markets (13)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 1)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 1)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 2)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 2)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 3)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 3)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 4)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 4)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 5)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 5)

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How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 1)

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How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 1)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 1)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 2)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 2)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 3)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 3)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 4)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 1, 2027? (Above 4)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 5)

How many launches will Rocket Lab Corporation have after June 29, 2026 at 4:00pm ET and before Jan 2027? (Above 5)

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