KenPom Ratings on Mar 8: Top 5 Teams
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KenPom Ratings on Mar 8: Top 5 Teams
K 0 contracts
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Xavier at 49.5%.
Kalshi
- Xavier49.5%
- West Virginia49.5%
- Wisconsin49.5%
- Virginia Tech49.5%
- Villanova49.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
50
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Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Top 5 (Mar 8, 2027) If X is ranked top 5 on the 2027 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings on Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution is determined solely by the KenPom ratings on Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-09T15:00:07.937Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
Each contract asks whether a named team will be ranked in the top 5 of the Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings on March 8, 2027. The rules state that "If X is ranked top 5 on the 2027 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings on Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST, then the market resolves to Yes." They also state that "Resolution is determined solely by the KenPom ratings on Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST" [1]. The rules add that the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. The 12:00pm EST check time is the resolution reference, so the snapshot should be read against that wording rather than against any general sense of the ratings.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this event at 2026-11-09T15:00:07.937Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-11-09T17:28:57.510Z [1]. Those are the times of the observation and retrieval, not the times the contract closes or resolves. Every included contract shows a Yes price of 0.495 and a No price of 0.505 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. The provider event has 50 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets were selected by highest Yes price, then volume, so the omitted 38 cannot be assumed to have lower prices. Because all 12 included markets share the same price, the sample does not show any ranking among teams. Volume is not supplied, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity or trader activity.
The listed end date for each contract is 2028-03-07T17:00:00.000Z, but the provider's end time is recorded as "not supplied" [1]. This listed date does not match the March 8, 2027 check time in the rules, so readers should not treat it as the resolution time.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are set where they are, how many traders hold each view, or how the ratings are likely to change. It contains no information about the current KenPom ratings beyond the rules, and no information about other platforms. Contracts with different wording or close times should not be compared directly, and a price difference between them would not by itself indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: KenPom Ratings on Mar 8: Top 5 Teams. Provider data observed 2026-11-09T15:00:07.937Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 9, 2026 UTCOverview
The KenPom Ratings on Mar 8: Top 5 Teams event is a Kalshi contract tied to the Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings. Its rules state that if a named team is ranked top 5 on the 2027 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings on Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Resolution is determined solely by the KenPom ratings at that time, so the contract asks about a single ratings snapshot rather than a team's performance over a season [1]. The event contains one market per team. The saved data for this event lists 50 markets in total, and 12 of them are included in the saved sample, which is ordered by price and then volume [1]. Because the sample is partial, the included teams should not be read as the full field, and the omitted markets should not be assumed to have any particular price. Each included market shows a Yes price of 0.495 and a No price of 0.505 in the saved snapshot, which was observed on November 9, 2026 at 15:00 UTC [1]. These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because every included market shows the same price, the snapshot does not distinguish between these teams, and the saved data does not provide volume figures that would indicate how actively any market traded. The contract rules also note that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider record shows an active status, but no listed end time was supplied [1]. The saved market records carry an end date field in March 2028, which is a data field and not the ratings time named in the rules. Readers should therefore treat the Mar 8, 2027 ratings time in the contract text as the reference point for resolution.
Historical Context
The supplied sources do not describe the history of the KenPom ratings or of this contract. They do describe the schedule of the 2026 to 2027 Big 12 men's basketball season, which the Wikipedia entry presents as beginning with the start of the 2026 to 2027 NCAA Division I men's basketball season on November 2, 2026, with conference play starting in January 2027 and the conference tournament scheduled for March 9 to 13, 2027 in Kansas City, Missouri [3]. The Mar 8, 2027 ratings time in the contract therefore falls during the regular season window described in that entry, one day before the tournament is scheduled to begin. This is schedule context only and does not describe any ratings results.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific team holds a top 5 position in the Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings at one fixed moment, 12:00pm EST on Mar 8, 2027 [1]. Its value to a reader lies in the precise rule: the outcome depends only on the ratings published at that time, not on game results, injuries or other events the rules do not name [1]. Anyone reading the prices should keep in mind that a Yes price is a snapshot from one moment and does not verify how likely the outcome is. The contract also states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA and that brand names belong to their owners [1]. That disclaimer clarifies that the contract references the KenPom ratings as its resolution source but is not an NCAA product.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-09 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What event decides whether a Yes contract resolves?
A market resolves to Yes if the named team is ranked top 5 on the 2027 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings on Mar 8, 2027 at 12:00pm EST [1]. Resolution is determined solely by the KenPom ratings at that time [1].
Does the price on a contract show the chance that a team will be ranked top 5?
The saved prices are snapshots observed on November 9, 2026 and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. In the saved sample, each included market shows a Yes price of 0.495 and a No price of 0.505 [1]. The snapshot does not show how the prices would change over time.
Are all teams in this event included in the saved data?
No. The event has 50 markets, and the saved sample includes 12 of them [1]. The sample is ordered by price and then volume, so omitted markets should not be assumed to have a particular price.
Is this contract affiliated with the NCAA?
The contract rules state that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA [1].
Will the market close early?
The rules state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider record shows an active status and does not supply a listed end time [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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