Politics prediction markets
6,971 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 6,193-6,240 of 6,971 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
NC-14 House election: Tim Moore vote percent
K 5 contractsWill Tim Moore receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-14 House election?Yes 94%
Will Tim Moore receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-14 House election?Yes 85%
Will Tim Moore receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-14 House election?Yes 72%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NJ-03 House election: Herb Conaway vote percent
K 5 contractsWill Herb Conaway receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Herb Conaway receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Herb Conaway receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?Yes 93%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-11 House election: Nicole Malliotakis vote percent
K 5 contractsWill Nicole Malliotakis receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-11 House election?Yes 85%
Will Nicole Malliotakis receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-11 House election?Yes 71%
Will Nicole Malliotakis receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-11 House election?Yes 52%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-15 House election: Jennifer Todd vote percent
K 4.71 contractsWill Jennifer Todd receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election?Yes 92%
Will Jennifer Todd receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election?Yes 84%
Will Jennifer Todd receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-15 House election?Yes 72%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois Secretary of State winner?
K 4.27 contractsWill Alexi Giannoulias win the 2026 Illinois Secretary of State election?Yes 90%
Will Diane M. Harris win the 2026 Illinois Secretary of State election?Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS let parents challenge laws that displace them from their children’s gender-transition decisions?
K 4.23 contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of International Partners for Ethical Care, Inc in International Partners for Ethical Care, Inc. v. FergusonYes 90%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in Q3
K 4.22 contractsWill ServiceTitan, Inc. report Above $24.4 billion gross transaction volume in Q3 2027?Yes 80%
Will ServiceTitan, Inc. report Above $24.7 billion gross transaction volume in Q3 2027?Yes 65%
Will ServiceTitan, Inc. report Above $24.9 billion gross transaction volume in Q3 2027?Yes 59%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Basketball (W): #1 Ranked Team on Week 11 AP Poll
K 4 contractsWill South Carolina be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 11 rankings?Yes 43.5%
Will UConn be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 11 rankings?Yes 24%
Will Duke be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 11 rankings?Yes 10%
+11 moreNext deadline Apr 26, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Scotland call a snap election?
K 4 contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that an extraordinary general election to the Scottish Parliament is called before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 29.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that an extraordinary general election to the Scottish Parliament is called before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania 05 House General Election: voter turnout
K 3.86 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 05 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 05 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 05 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina 03 House General Election: voter turnout
K 3.58 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in South Carolina 03 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in South Carolina 03 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 80.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in South Carolina 03 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 72.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will DHS adopt a $100k OPT fee this year?
K 3.24 contractsDepartment of Homeland SecurityYes 20%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-20 House election: Paul Tonko vote percent
K 3.08 contractsWill Paul Tonko receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Paul Tonko receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?Yes 93%
Will Paul Tonko receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Maryland approve the Camden Yards ground lease before 2028?
K 3 contractsWill the Maryland Board of Public Works announce final approval of a ground lease and its accompanying development plan granting the Baltimore Orioles or an affiliate the right to develop the state-owned land north of Lee Street at the Camden Yards Sports Complex before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California's 31st District margin of victory
K 3 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 31st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 86.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 31st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 31st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 64%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia 04 House General Election: voter turnout
K 3 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Georgia 04 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia 04 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 91.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia 04 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 85.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US trade deficit for 2032
K 3 contractsWill the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2032 be above $600 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2032 be above $500 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2032 be above $700 billion?Yes 96.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 14, 2033 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-27 House election: María Elvira Salazar vote percent
K 3 contractsWill María Elvira Salazar receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-27 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will María Elvira Salazar receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-27 House election?Yes 88%
Will María Elvira Salazar receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-27 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NJ-09 House election: Nellie Pou vote percent
K 2.98 contractsWill Nellie Pou receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-09 House election?Yes 92%
Will Nellie Pou receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-09 House election?Yes 81%
Will Nellie Pou receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-09 House election?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas 29 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.97 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Texas 29 House General Election be above 102000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 29 House General Election be above 126000?Yes 65%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 29 House General Election be above 133000?Yes 53%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee 06 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.79 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Tennessee 06 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Tennessee 06 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 70.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Tennessee 06 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 56.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?
K 2.72 contractsWill the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 4000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?Yes 78.5%
Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 6000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?Yes 56.5%
Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 8000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?Yes 42.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in Q3
K 2.4 contractsWill MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above $21.5 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above $22 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 96%
Will MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above $22.5 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 92%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
All-Pro Basketball Second Team Selections
K 2.1 contractsAll-Pro Basketball Second Team Selection: Kyrie IrvingYes 79%
All-Pro Basketball Second Team Selection: Zion WilliamsonYes 49.5%
All-Pro Basketball Second Team Selection: Victor WembanyamaYes 49.5%
+52 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
California's 48th District margin of victory
K 2.04 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 48th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 4.8%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?
K 2 contractsWill it be reported by Government of Alberta that the Government of Alberta publicly announces that Alberta’s general minimum wage will be increased above $15.00 per hour before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the EU enact a social media ban for children?
K 2 contractsWill the EU enact a social media ban for children before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 33.5%
Will the EU enact a social media ban for children before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 18.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: which party wins men?
K 2 contractsWill Democrats win men in the exit poll?Yes 49.5%
Will Republicans win men in the exit poll?Yes 48.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will Venezuela exit OPEC?
K 2 contractsWill Venezuela agree to or announce an OPEC exit before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 38.5%
Will Venezuela agree to or announce an OPEC exit before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 23.5%
Will Venezuela agree to or announce an OPEC exit before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
All-Pro Basketball Third Team Selections
K 2 contractsAll-Pro Basketball Third Team Selection: Zion WilliamsonYes 49.5%
All-Pro Basketball Third Team Selection: Victor WembanyamaYes 49.5%
All-Pro Basketball Third Team Selection: Trae YoungYes 49.5%
+52 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Football: Top 10 Ranked Teams on Final AP Poll
K 2 contractsWill West Virginia be a top 10 ranked team on the College Football Final AP Poll rankings of the 2026-27 season?Yes 50%
Will Wisconsin be a top 10 ranked team on the College Football Final AP Poll rankings of the 2026-27 season?Yes 50%
Will Washington be a top 10 ranked team on the College Football Final AP Poll rankings of the 2026-27 season?Yes 50%
+72 moreNext deadline Feb 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US trade deficit for 2031
K 2 contractsWill the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $600 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $500 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $700 billion?Yes 96.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 9, 2032 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montgomery County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
K 2 contractsWill Sherrod Brown receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Montgomery County, Ohio?Yes 94.5%
Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Montgomery County, Ohio?Yes 89%
Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Montgomery County, Ohio?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota 06 House General Election: voter turnout
K 1.81 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota 06 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota 06 House General Election be above 290000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota 06 House General Election be above 330000?Yes 57.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts 03 House General Election: voter turnout
K 1.52 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 03 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 03 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 03 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 71.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/17-10/23)
K 1.5 contractsWill Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 60%
Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 43%
Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 32%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?
K 1.24 contractsWill James Fishback announce a run for any government office before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 40%
Will James Fishback announce a run for any government office before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 24.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California 35 House General Election: voter turnout
K 1.16 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 35 House General Election be above 134000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 35 House General Election be above 141000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 35 House General Election be above 148000?Yes 80.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin 07 House General Election: voter turnout
K 1.1 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 07 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 07 House General Election be above 290000?Yes 77.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 07 House General Election be above 310000?Yes 64.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
K 1 contractsWill Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 52%
Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 52%
Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 51.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026
K 1 contractsWill MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above $87 billion gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
Will MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above $88 billion gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 92%
Will MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above $89 billion gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline May 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California's 32nd District margin of victory
K 1 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 32nd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 88.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 32nd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 32nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?Yes 67%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California's 36th District margin of victory
K 1 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 36th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 92.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 36th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 36th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?Yes 74%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California's 43rd District margin of victory
K 1 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 43rd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?Yes 92.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 43rd District House election be at least 51 percentage points?Yes 87.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 43rd District House election be at least 54 percentage points?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama 01 House General Election: voter turnout
K 1 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 01 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 90.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 01 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 83.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alabama 01 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 73.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oklahoma 04 House General Election: voter turnout
K 1 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 75.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oklahoma 04 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 64.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania 12 House General Election: voter turnout
K 1 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 12 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 12 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 84.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 12 House General Election be above 300000?Yes 64.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas 32 House General Election: voter turnout
K 1 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Texas 32 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 32 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 94%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 32 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 89%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC