Tech prediction markets
1,156 tech market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 625-672 of 1,156 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics

Will Port of Baltimore container volume rise YoY?
K 13.6K contractsWill Port of Baltimore container volume for 2026 be above 1,113,309 TEUs?Yes 67.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?
PM $3.2KWill Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Yes 80%
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Yes 7.1%
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Yes 6.3%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Total space launches in October
K 13.6K contractsHow many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 9)Yes 99%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 10)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 11)Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Muse Charm released by...?
PM $3.2KMuse Charm released by December 31, 2026?Yes 63%
Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?Yes 58.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 13.5K contractsDeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.4%Yes 91.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 15.0%Yes 82.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.3%Yes 71.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
PM $3.2KWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by October 31, 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin Keynote?
K 13.5K contractsWhat will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (Rubin / Vera Rubin)Yes 97.5%
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 97.5%
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (Robot / Robotic / Robotics)Yes 88.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?
PM $3.1KWill Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 85% and 87.5%?Yes 67.5%
Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 82.5% and 85%?Yes 14%
Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 87.5% and 90%?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 13.4K contractsWill there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 78%
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 34.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?
PM $3.1KPhoebe Gates arrested by December 31?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Drake: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 13.4K contractsWill Drake have above 11.75M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Drake have above 11.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Drake have above 11M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 95%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Gemini Argon released by...?
PM $3.1KNext Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027?Yes 14%
Next Gemini Argon released by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Rain in Miami in Oct 2026?
K 13.3K contractsRain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 94%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 67.5%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 34%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?
PM $2.8KNVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%?Yes 78.5%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 75% to 77%?Yes 13.5%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 71% to 73%?Yes 7%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

YoungBoy Never Broke Again Streams in 2026
K 13.2K contractsWill YoungBoy Never Broke Again have 9500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have 9000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have 8500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?
PM $2.7KAnthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Tesla headcount in 2026
K 13.1K contractsWill Tesla, Inc. report above 120000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 125000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 130000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 86%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
PM $2.7KOpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 20 Finishers
K 13.1K contractsCup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 20Yes 84%
Cup Series: Chase Briscoe to finish in the top 20Yes 79.5%
Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 20Yes 79.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Base iPhone 18 released by...?
PM $2.6KBase iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027?Yes 92%
Base iPhone 18 released by March 31, 2027?Yes 45.5%
Base iPhone 18 released by February 28, 2027?Yes 11.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Vail Resorts skier visits in Q1
K 13.0K contractsWill Vail Resorts report Above 450,000 skier visits in Q1 2027?Yes 56.5%
Will Vail Resorts report Above 500,000 skier visits in Q1 2027?Yes 47.5%
Will Vail Resorts report Above 400,000 skier visits in Q1 2027?Yes 40.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
PM $2.6KWill Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?Yes 5.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

Lightweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?
K 12.9K contractsMateusz Gamrot to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
Islam Makhachev to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
Dan Hooker to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above __?
PM $2.5KWill Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.60B?Yes 75%
Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.65B?Yes 74.5%
Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.70B?Yes 46%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

X re-launches Vine this year?
K 12.8K contractsX re-launches Vine in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?
PM $2.4KWill OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 36%
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 14.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Tesla total production in 2026
K 12.8K contractsWill Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total production in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total production in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total production in 2026?Yes 96%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above __?
PM $2.2KWill Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.0B?Yes 84.5%
Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.1B?Yes 79%
Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.2B?Yes 29.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: RBIs
K 12.7K contractsJunior Caminero: 1+ RBIs?Yes 31.5%
Jo Adell: 1+ RBIs?Yes 29.5%
Yandy Díaz: 1+ RBIs?Yes 28%
+27 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenRouter AI token usage Oct 26 to Nov 22?
PM $1.9KWill OpenRouter process between 725T and 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Yes 34.5%
Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Yes 28.5%
Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Future: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 12.7K contractsWill Future have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97%
Will Future have above 4.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Future have above 6M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 86.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?
PM $1.9KNext Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 36.5%
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 34%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q1
K 12.6K contractsWill Carnival Corporation Ltd. report Above 22.4 million available lower berth days in Q1 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will Carnival Corporation Ltd. report Above 23.3 million available lower berth days in Q1 2027?Yes 94%
Will Carnival Corporation Ltd. report Above 23.2 million available lower berth days in Q1 2027?Yes 93.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jun 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?
PM $1.8KComprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies: #1 search
K 12.3K contractsWill Obsession be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list?Yes 40%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list?Yes 32.5%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list?Yes 9%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
PM $1.8KWill Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week?
K 12.2K contractsWill Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center Revenue be above __?
PM $1.8KWill NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $95B?Yes 96%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $100B?Yes 69.5%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $105B?Yes 21%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

When will the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released?
K 12.2K contractsWill the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released Worldwide before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 90%
Will the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released Worldwide before Aug 1, 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released Worldwide before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 87%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?
PM $1.8KFTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Reddit daily active uniques in 2026
K 12.1K contractsWill Reddit Inc. report Above 136 million daily active uniques in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Reddit Inc. report Above 138 million daily active uniques in 2026?Yes 78%
Will Reddit Inc. report Above 140 million daily active uniques in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?
PM $1.8KWill Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?Yes 48.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Portland Trailblazers bought and changed to Seattle SuperSonics?
K 12.1K contractsWill the Portland Trailblazers be bought and become the Seattle SuperSonics?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?
PM $1.7KWill CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $320M?Yes 86.5%
Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $360M?Yes 84%
Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $400M?Yes 39.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth

Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
K 12.1K contractsWill the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 54.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 51.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?
PM $1.7KGitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?Yes 16%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Rain in NYC in Oct 2026?
K 12.0K contractsRain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 34%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 24.5%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 9.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?
PM $1.7KNext Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 72%
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC