Skip to main content

Economics prediction markets

1,518 economics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 1,009-1,056 of 1,518 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiEconomics
US existing home sales for October

US existing home sales for October

K 4.8K contracts
Will US existing home sales for October 2026 be above 3.60M?Yes 98.5%
Will US existing home sales for October 2026 be above 3.70M?Yes 85%
Will US existing home sales for October 2026 be above 3.80M?Yes 67.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above ___ end of October?

Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above ___ end of October?

PM $280.28
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $100 end of October?Yes 94.5%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $90 end of October?Yes 92.6%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of October?Yes 91%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?

Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?

K 4.7K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a binding U.S. federal measure takes effect that generally prohibits or requires federal authorization for private U.S. persons or companies to access, host, or deploy Kimi K3 or a successor Kimi model before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

PM $274.71
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 65.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Petrobras total production (Mboed) in fiscal 2026

Petrobras total production (Mboed) in fiscal 2026

K 4.7K contracts
Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 2950 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3000 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026?Yes 95%
Will Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras report Above 3100 mboed total oil and gas production in fiscal 2026?Yes 93.5%
+10 moreNext deadline May 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of October 19 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of October 19 2026?

PM $268.78
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 92%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $690 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 83%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 81.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

K 4.7K contracts
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 11.5%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Hyperliquid (HYPE) for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 10%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 6%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketFinance
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 19?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 19?

PM $266.25
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Dallas vs Green Bay: 1st Dallas Touchdown

Dallas vs Green Bay: 1st Dallas Touchdown

K 4.7K contracts
Javonte Williams: 1st Dallas TouchdownYes 31.5%
CeeDee Lamb: 1st Dallas TouchdownYes 17.5%
George Pickens: 1st Dallas TouchdownYes 15.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 19?

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $264.88
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher price in October

Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher price in October

K 4.7K contracts
Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher for October 2026 be at least $5.08?Yes 90%
Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher for October 2026 be at least $5.09?Yes 32.5%
Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher for October 2026 be at least $5.10?Yes 12.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth October 2026

Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth October 2026

PM $260.1
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth October 2026View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Wyoming gas prices tomorrow

Wyoming gas prices tomorrow

K 4.6K contracts
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4650?Yes 98.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4450?Yes 98.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4600?Yes 97%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?

PM $255.31
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 58%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed funds rate at end of 2031

Fed funds rate at end of 2031

K 4.6K contracts
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.00%?Yes 91.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.25%?Yes 84%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.00%?Yes 77.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2032 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

PM $255.17
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiWorld
Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme price in October

Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme price in October

K 4.5K contracts
Will the average U.S. price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme for October 2026 be at least $6.70?Yes 89.5%
Will the average U.S. price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme for October 2026 be at least $6.71?Yes 74%
Will the average U.S. price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme for October 2026 be at least $6.72?Yes 51.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 19?

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $252.54
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed funds rate at end of 2033

Fed funds rate at end of 2033

K 4.5K contracts
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.00%?Yes 82%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.25%?Yes 80%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.50%?Yes 78.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2034 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Caesars (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Caesars (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?

PM $250.02
Will Caesars (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will the S&P/BMV IPC Index get in 2026?

How high will the S&P/BMV IPC Index get in 2026?

K 4.5K contracts
Will the S&P/BMV IPC Index be at least MX$69,000 in 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will the S&P/BMV IPC Index be at least MX$71,000 in 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will the S&P/BMV IPC Index be at least MX$73,000 in 2026?Yes 25%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?

PM $250
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 69%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?

How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?

K 4.4K contracts
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.69% by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 61%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.79% by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 55.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.74% by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 49.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

PM $246.82
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?View outcomes
1 mkt
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026

K 4.4K contracts
Will US labor force participation rate for December 2026 be between 61.0% and 61.4%?Yes 33%
Will US labor force participation rate for December 2026 be between 61.5% and 61.9%?Yes 32.5%
Will US labor force participation rate for December 2026 be between 60.5% and 60.9%?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?

Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?

PM $242.75
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Wendy's Baconator price in October

Wendy's Baconator price in October

K 4.3K contracts
Will the average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for October 2026 be at least $8.68?Yes 97%
Will the average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for October 2026 be at least $8.69?Yes 81%
Will the average U.S. price of a Wendy's Baconator for October 2026 be at least $8.70?Yes 51%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Con Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Con Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?

PM $232.63
Will Con Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 64.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in fiscal 2026

Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in fiscal 2026

K 4.3K contracts
Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in fiscal 2026?Yes 82%
Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in fiscal 2026?Yes 65%
Will The Kroger Co. report Above 1% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in fiscal 2026?Yes 52.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Micron (MU) close above ___ end of October?

Will Micron (MU) close above ___ end of October?

PM $231.19
Will Micron (MU) close above $960 end of October?Yes 17.5%
Will Micron (MU) close above $980 end of October?Yes 14.5%
Will Micron (MU) close above $1,000 end of October?Yes 13%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US housing starts for September

US housing starts for September

K 4.3K contracts
Will US housing starts for September 2026 be above 1.200M?Yes 84%
Will US housing starts for September 2026 be above 1.250M?Yes 75%
Will US housing starts for September 2026 be above 1.100M?Yes 65%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?

PM $224
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 77%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $57 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 70%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 58.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in September?

Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in September?

K 4.3K contracts
Will Canada Inflation Rate YoY exceed Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY for September 2026?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will SS&C (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?

Will SS&C (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?

PM $223.16
Will SS&C (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 63.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed funds rate at end of 2030

Fed funds rate at end of 2030

K 4.2K contracts
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.50%?Yes 89.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.00%?Yes 85.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.25%?Yes 78%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2031 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 19 above___?

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 19 above___?

PM $223
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 19 above $190?Yes 91.5%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 19 above $185?Yes 90%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 19 above $195?Yes 89.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Touchdowns (Protected)

Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Touchdowns (Protected)

K 4.2K contracts
Kenneth Walker III: 2+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 50.5%
Quentin Johnston: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49.5%
Nikko Remigio: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49.5%
+45 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will PG&E (PCG) beat quarterly earnings?

Will PG&E (PCG) beat quarterly earnings?

PM $222.6
Will PG&E (PCG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 63%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US imports of goods from China in 2026

US imports of goods from China in 2026

K 4.2K contracts
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $300 billion?Yes 72.5%
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $280 billion?Yes 53%
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?Yes 23.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?

PM $210
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 89%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 73%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 63%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Annual Return: S&P 500 vs. S&P 500 Equal Weight Index

Annual Return: S&P 500 vs. S&P 500 Equal Weight Index

K 4.2K contracts
Will the S&P 500 Index outperform the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index?Yes 53%
Will the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index outperform the S&P 500 Index?Yes 42.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?

PM $200.74
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 82%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
CPI in November (exact value)

CPI in November (exact value)

K 4.2K contracts
CPI month-over-month in Nov 2026? (Exactly 0.2%)Yes 23%
CPI month-over-month in Nov 2026? (Exactly 0.1%)Yes 19%
CPI month-over-month in Nov 2026? (Exactly 0.3%)Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?

Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?

PM $200.09
Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 59%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2029

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2029

K 4.2K contracts
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2029 be above 56.00%?Yes 98.5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2029 be above 56.50%?Yes 96%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2029 be above 57.00%?Yes 94.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2030 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 19 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 19 2026?

PM $185.99
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 50%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026

US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026

K 4.2K contracts
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $800 billion?Yes 81%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $775 billion?Yes 81%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $750 billion?Yes 81%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Netflix (NFLX) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?

Netflix (NFLX) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?

PM $173.4
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 43%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 39.5%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC