Skip to main content

Economics prediction markets

1,518 economics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 1,153-1,200 of 1,518 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiSports
Carolina vs Philadelphia: Touchdowns

Carolina vs Philadelphia: Touchdowns

K 3.1K contracts
Anthony Tyus III: 1+ touchdownsYes 0.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?

Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?

PM $3
Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 69.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US student loan debt at end of 2026

US student loan debt at end of 2026

K 3.1K contracts
Will total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.82T?Yes 96.5%
Will total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.84T?Yes 95%
Will total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.86T?Yes 91%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 19 above___?

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 19 above___?

PM $1.11
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 19 above $325?Yes 75.5%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 19 above $330?Yes 70%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 19 above $335?Yes 66.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US private data center construction spending in September

US private data center construction spending in September

K 3.0K contracts
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?Yes 97.5%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?Yes 93.5%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?Yes 93%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Private Companies - greatest valuation growth October 2026

Private Companies - greatest valuation growth October 2026

PM $0
Will Anthropic have the greatest valuation growth in October 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in October 2026?Yes 46%
Will Stripe have the greatest valuation growth in October 2026?Yes 38%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bank of Thailand rate decision in October

Bank of Thailand rate decision in October

K 3.0K contracts
Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 97%
Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 3.5%
Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Central Bank of Chile decision in December

Central Bank of Chile decision in December

PM $0
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?Yes 60.5%
Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes 37.5%
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes 37%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Turkey rate decision in October

Turkey rate decision in October

K 3.0K contracts
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye cut 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 49.5%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 21.5%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye hike 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 12.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19?

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
US unemployment rate at year-end 2027

US unemployment rate at year-end 2027

K 3.0K contracts
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 3.0%?Yes 96%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 3.5%?Yes 94.5%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 4.0%?Yes 85%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI YoY in November (exact value)

Core CPI YoY in November (exact value)

K 3.0K contracts
CPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? (Exactly 2.9%)Yes 26%
CPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? (Exactly 2.8%)Yes 19%
CPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? (Exactly 3.0%)Yes 13%
+13 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on October 19?

Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on October 19?

PM $0
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 19?Yes 93%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 19?Yes 71%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $345 on October 19?Yes 27%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed median dot plot in December 2026

Fed median dot plot in December 2026

K 2.9K contracts
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.5%)Yes 97.5%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.7%)Yes 97%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? (Above 3.6%)Yes 97%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 19?

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026

Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026

K 2.9K contracts
How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 17, 2026? (At least 140000)Yes 98.5%
How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 17, 2026? (At least 175,000)Yes 98%
How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 17, 2026? (At least 125000)Yes 97.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on October 19?

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Remitly active customers in fiscal 2026

Remitly active customers in fiscal 2026

K 2.8K contracts
Will Remitly Global, Inc. report Above 10.5 million active customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 97%
Will Remitly Global, Inc. report Above 10.6 million active customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 94%
Will Remitly Global, Inc. report Above 10.7 million active customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 87%
+8 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on October 19?

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will Canada raise tariffs on the US?

When will Canada raise tariffs on the US?

K 2.8K contracts
Will the Prime Minister of Canada announce new or increased tariffs on U.S. goods before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 50%
Will the Prime Minister of Canada announce new or increased tariffs on U.S. goods before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will the Prime Minister of Canada announce new or increased tariffs on U.S. goods before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 44%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 19?

Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 19?

PM $0
Will Meta (META) close above $750 on October 19?Yes 20.5%
Will Meta (META) close above $730 on October 19?Yes 20%
Will Meta (META) close above $740 on October 19?Yes 18.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Lemonade total customers in fiscal 2026

Lemonade total customers in fiscal 2026

K 2.8K contracts
Will Lemonade Inc. report Above 3.6 million total customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 70%
Will Lemonade Inc. report Above 3.65 million total customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 60%
Will Lemonade Inc. report Above 3.7 million total customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 30%
+1 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 19?

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Ohio gas prices tomorrow

Ohio gas prices tomorrow

K 2.7K contracts
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0350?Yes 98.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0300?Yes 98%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0250?Yes 98%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on October 19?

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bank Indonesia rate decision in October

Bank Indonesia rate decision in October

K 2.7K contracts
Will Bank Indonesia maintain the current rate at the October Board of Governors Meeting?Yes 52.5%
Will Bank Indonesia hike 1-25bps at the October Board of Governors Meeting?Yes 43.5%
Will Bank Indonesia hike more than 25bps at the October Board of Governors Meeting?Yes 1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 19?

Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: 1st Arizona Touchdown

Arizona vs Los Angeles R: 1st Arizona Touchdown

K 2.7K contracts
Trey McBride: 1st Arizona TouchdownYes 28%
Tyler Allgeier: 1st Arizona TouchdownYes 27.5%
No Touchdown: 1st Arizona TouchdownYes 24%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on October 19?

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the FTC sue YouTube over account suspensions?

Will the FTC sue YouTube over account suspensions?

K 2.7K contracts
Will the Federal Trade Commission sue YouTube over account suspensions, account terminations, demonetization, or related content-enforcement practices before 2027?Yes 35%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 19?

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Washington vs San Francisco: Passing Touchdowns

Washington vs San Francisco: Passing Touchdowns

K 2.6K contracts
Brock Purdy: 1+ passing touchdownsYes 93%
Jayden Daniels: 1+ passing touchdownsYes 79%
Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdownsYes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on October 19?

FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Netflix App Downloads in October

Netflix App Downloads in October

K 2.6K contracts
Will Netflix App Downloads for October 2026 be above 55 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Netflix App Downloads for October 2026 be above 50 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Netflix App Downloads for October 2026 be above 35 ?Yes 98.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on October 19?

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed funds rate at end of 2036

Fed funds rate at end of 2036

K 2.6K contracts
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.00%?Yes 70.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.25%?Yes 69%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.00%?Yes 67.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2037 UTC
PolymarketFinance
US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on October 19?

US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?

Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?

K 2.6K contracts
Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on October 19?

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US defaults before 2028?

US defaults before 2028?

K 2.5K contracts
Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) Up or Down on October 19?

Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Dallas vs Green Bay: 1st Green Bay Touchdown

Dallas vs Green Bay: 1st Green Bay Touchdown

K 2.5K contracts
MarShawn Lloyd: 1st Green Bay TouchdownYes 19%
Christian Watson: 1st Green Bay TouchdownYes 17%
Matthew Golden: 1st Green Bay TouchdownYes 13%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 19?

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?

K 2.5K contracts
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 50%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD) Up or Down on October 19?

British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns (Protected)

Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns (Protected)

K 2.5K contracts
Tyler Higbee: 3+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49.5%
Bam Knight: 2+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49.5%
Michael Wilson: 3+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49.5%
+42 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on October 19?

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on October 19?

PM $0
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC