Economics prediction markets
1,518 economics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 1,297-1,344 of 1,518 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Will Manhattan's Q4 2026 office vacancy rate be below 18%?
K 1.5K contractsWill Manhattan’s overall office vacancy rate for Q4 2026 be below 18.0%?Yes 54.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the nickel be discontinued?
K 1.5K contractsWill the U.S. Mint or Department of the Treasury announce the suspension or cessation of production of the five-cent coin (nickel) for circulation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 0.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Montana gas prices tomorrow
K 1.5K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.4350?Yes 97.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4300?Yes 97.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4500?Yes 97%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
US SPR level for the week ending October 16, 2026
K 1.5K contractsWill US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 16, 2026 be above 277M?Yes 99%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 16, 2026 be above 278M?Yes 98.5%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 16, 2026 be above 279M?Yes 98%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Americas data center capacity at the end of 2026
K 1.5K contractsWill Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 45.0 GW?Yes 95.5%
Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 47.5 GW?Yes 93%
Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 50.0 GW?Yes 86%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Verizon postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026
K 1.4K contractsWill Verizon Communications Inc report Above 500 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026?Yes 97%
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 550 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 600 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
+8 moreNext deadline Apr 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 23, 2026?
K 1.4K contractsWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% by Oct 23, 2026?Yes 62%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% by Oct 23, 2026?Yes 60%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% by Oct 23, 2026?Yes 54.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Rippling officially announce an IPO?
K 1.4K contractsWhen will Rippling IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 15%
When will Rippling IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 14%
When will Rippling IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 11%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026
K 1.3K contractsWill the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin electric trucks on December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET be above 0%?Yes 97%
Will the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin electric trucks on December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET be above 10%?Yes 96.5%
Will the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin electric trucks on December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET be above 20%?Yes 94%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year?
K 1.3K contractsWill Tokenized U.S. Treasuries (Distributed Value) before 2027 be above 20 Billion?Yes 22.5%
Will Tokenized U.S. Treasuries (Distributed Value) before 2027 be above 25 Billion?Yes 16%
Will Tokenized U.S. Treasuries (Distributed Value) before 2027 be above 30 Billion?Yes 12%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Airbnb Inc. nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026
K 1.3K contractsWill Airbnb Inc. report Above 565 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?Yes 83%
Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 570 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 575 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline May 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
First Solar Gigawatts sold in fiscal 2026
K 1.3K contractsWill First Solar Inc. report Above 16.6 GW module volume sold in fiscal 2026?Yes 93%
Will First Solar Inc. report Above 16.8 GW module volume sold in fiscal 2026?Yes 88%
Will First Solar Inc. report Above 17 GW module volume sold in fiscal 2026?Yes 81%
+6 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Meta advertisement impressions growth in fiscal 2026
K 1.3K contractsWill Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 8% worldwide ad impressions growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 97%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 10% worldwide ad impressions growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 12% worldwide ad impressions growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 81%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Washington vs San Francisco: Touchdowns (Protected)
K 1.3K contractsChristian McCaffrey: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 69.5%
Mike Evans: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 50.5%
George Kittle: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 45%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
K 1.3K contractsWill the U.S. goods trade deficit with China before January 1, 2027 be below $150B?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
McDonald's total restaurants in fiscal 2026
K 1.2K contractsWill McDonald's Corporation report Above 46800 total systemwide restaurants in fiscal 2026?Yes 97%
Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 47200 total systemwide restaurants in fiscal 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 47000 total systemwide restaurants in fiscal 2026?Yes 88%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026
K 1.2K contractsWill M2 money-supply growth for December 2026 be at least 6.5%?Yes 23%
Will M2 money-supply growth for December 2026 be between 5.5% and 5.9%?Yes 20.5%
Will M2 money-supply growth for December 2026 be between 6.0% and 6.4%?Yes 20%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Germany unemployment rate in October
K 1.1K contractsGermany unemployment rate in October 2026? (Above 5.9%)Yes 89%
Germany unemployment rate in October 2026? (Above 6.4%)Yes 61%
Germany unemployment rate in October 2026? (Above 6.3%)Yes 59.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
SoFi members in fiscal 2026
K 1.1K contractsWill SoFi Technologies, Inc. report Above 17.6 million members in fiscal 2026?Yes 98%
Will SoFi Technologies, Inc. report Above 17.8 million members in fiscal 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will SoFi Technologies, Inc. report Above 18 million members in fiscal 2026?Yes 88%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Figma paid customers >$100k arr in fiscal 2026
K 1.1K contractsWill Figma, Inc. report Above 1850 paid customers >$100k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will Figma, Inc. report Above 1900 paid customers >$100k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 63%
Will Figma, Inc. report Above 1950 paid customers >$100k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline May 26, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US personal saving rate below 2% in 2026?
K 1.1K contractsWill US personal saving rate for 2026 be below 2.0%?Yes 21.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
US active housing listings in October
K 1.1K contractsWill the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,100,000 listings?Yes 95.5%
Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,125,000 listings?Yes 92%
Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,150,000 listings?Yes 70%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Duolingo paid subscribers in fiscal 2026
K 1.1K contractsWill Duolingo Inc. report Above 13.4 million paid subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 83%
Will Duolingo Inc. report Above 13.6 million paid subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 62%
Will Duolingo Inc. report Above 13.8 million paid subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 42.5%
+4 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?
K 1.1K contractsWill the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in October 2026?Yes 95%
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.1% in October 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in October 2026?Yes 49%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in September?
K 1.0K contractsWill Japan Inflation Rate YoY exceed Singapore Inflation Rate YoY for September 2026?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will wage satisfaction hit a new low in 2026?
K 1.0K contractsWill satisfaction with wage compensation fall below 52.3% in 2026?Yes 48.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Temporary-help employment in October
K 992.35 contractsWill All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?Yes 50.5%
Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.500 million?Yes 48%
Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.420 million?Yes 47%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in September?
K 983.29 contractsWill United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY exceed Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY for September 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
ADP employment change in Nov 2026?
K 977.65 contractsADP employment change in Nov 2026? (Above -25000)Yes 94%
ADP employment change in Nov 2026? (Above 0)Yes 79%
ADP employment change in Nov 2026? (Above 25000)Yes 64%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September
K 952 contractsWill Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September 2026 be above -0.40?Yes 97%
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September 2026 be above -0.30?Yes 94.5%
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September 2026 be above -0.20?Yes 91.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as Q
K 946.53 contractsWill Ben Whishaw perform as Q in the next James Bond film?Yes 30.5%
Will Andrew Scott perform as Q in the next James Bond film?Yes 17%
Will Dev Patel perform as Q in the next James Bond film?Yes 15%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiSports
US unemployment rate at year-end 2031
K 902 contractsWill the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 3.0%?Yes 91%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 3.5%?Yes 81%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 4.0%?Yes 75%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 16, 2032 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
K 892.21 contractsWill the Prime Minister of Canada announce lower tariffs on U.S. goods before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 53.5%
Will the Prime Minister of Canada announce lower tariffs on U.S. goods before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the Prime Minister of Canada announce lower tariffs on U.S. goods before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 41%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Total Fed dissents in 2026
K 889.7 contractsTotal Fed dissents in 2026: exactly 8Yes 24%
Total Fed dissents in 2026: exactly 9Yes 22.5%
Total Fed dissents in 2026: exactly 7Yes 20.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033
K 880.04 contractsWill the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 0.0%?Yes 89%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 1.0%?Yes 73.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 0.5%?Yes 63.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2034 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel prices tomorrow
K 862.28 contractsWill Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.300?Yes 55.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.310?Yes 53.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.370?Yes 50%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2027
K 848 contractsWill U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2027 be above 56.00%?Yes 98%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2027 be above 57.00%?Yes 95.5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2027 be above 56.50%?Yes 95.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Life360 monthly active users in fiscal 2026
K 845.13 contractsWill Life360, Inc. report Above 109 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
Will Life360, Inc. report Above 110 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 92%
Will Life360, Inc. report Above 111 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 80%
+4 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2032
K 825 contractsWill U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2032 be above 56.00%?Yes 97%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2032 be above 56.50%?Yes 95.5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2032 be above 57.00%?Yes 94.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2033 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026
K 812.49 contractsWill SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will SpaceX report Above 15.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will SpaceX report Above 16 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline May 16, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as Felix Leiter
K 810.92 contractsWill Boyd Holbrook perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?Yes 12.5%
Will Anthony Mackie perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?Yes 11.5%
Will Steven Yeun perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?Yes 9%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiWorld
UC tuition for 2027–28
K 792.49 contractsWill the annual mandatory systemwide undergraduate tuition and fees for the University of California cohort first enrolled in AY 2027–28 for the 2027–28 academic year be above $16,000?Yes 91%
Will the annual mandatory systemwide undergraduate tuition and fees for the University of California cohort first enrolled in AY 2027–28 for the 2027–28 academic year be above $16,100?Yes 82%
Will the annual mandatory systemwide undergraduate tuition and fees for the University of California cohort first enrolled in AY 2027–28 for the 2027–28 academic year be above $16,200?Yes 71%
+3 moreNext deadline Aug 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?
K 779.89 contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 80.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 73.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 69%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?
K 769.49 contractsWill the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027 be above 3.7%?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
South Africa inflation rate MoM for September
K 752.42 contractsWill South Africa inflation rate MoM for September 2026 be above -0.4%?Yes 97.5%
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for September 2026 be above -0.2%?Yes 96.5%
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for September 2026 be above 0.0%?Yes 90.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M
K 742.52 contractsWill Ralph Fiennes perform as M in the next James Bond film?Yes 34.5%
Will Charles Dance perform as M in the next James Bond film?Yes 12%
Will Olivia Colman perform as M in the next James Bond film?Yes 9.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Rocket Lab vehicles launched in fiscal 2026
K 741.97 contractsWill Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 22 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026?Yes 89%
Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 23 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026?Yes 78%
Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 24 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026?Yes 62%
+9 moreNext deadline May 26, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 725.13 contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 74%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 72%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 70%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC