Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026

Total Volume

$209.24

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026

Vol

$209.24

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $209.24

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $209.24

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?	Kalshi	96%
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $25,000?	Kalshi	96%
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $26,000?	Kalshi	89%
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $27,000?	Kalshi	67%
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $28,000?	Kalshi	9%
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $29,000?	Kalshi	5%
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $30,000?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$209.24

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

December 2026 If the Used Avg. Transaction Prices, ATPs, for December 2026, as reported by Edmunds, is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first December 2026 Used ATP value published by Edmunds. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. The statistic is a monthly average for December 2026, not a December 31 point-in-time value. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** December 2026

If the Used Avg. Transaction Prices, ATPs, for December 2026, as reported by Edmunds, is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first December 2026 Used ATP value published by Edmunds. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. The statistic is a monthly average for December 2026, not a December 31 point-in-time value. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026, as reported by Edmunds, is above $30,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first December 2026 Used ATP value published by Edmunds. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. The statistic is a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $209
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $30,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $29,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $28,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $27,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $206
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $26,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $25,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026

Volume$209.24

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?

If the Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026, as reported by Edmunds, is above $24,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first December 2026 Used ATP value published by Edmunds. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. The statistic is a

KALSHI

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $25,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $25,000?

If the Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026, as reported by Edmunds, is above $25,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first December 2026 Used ATP value published by Edmunds. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. The statistic is a

KALSHI

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $26,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $26,000?

If the Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026, as reported by Edmunds, is above $26,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first December 2026 Used ATP value published by Edmunds. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. The statistic is a

KALSHI

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $27,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.0¢No 33.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $27,000?

If the Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026, as reported by Edmunds, is above $27,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first December 2026 Used ATP value published by Edmunds. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. The statistic is a

KALSHI

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $28,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $28,000?

If the Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026, as reported by Edmunds, is above $28,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first December 2026 Used ATP value published by Edmunds. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. The statistic is a

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

52¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/vqMm23" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026

Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026

Markets (7)

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $25,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $25,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $26,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $26,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $27,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $27,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $28,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $28,000?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $25,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $25,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $26,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $26,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $27,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $27,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $28,000?

Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $28,000?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget