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Economics prediction markets

1,573 economics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 1,345-1,392 of 1,573 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiEconomics
Washington vs San Francisco: Touchdowns (Protected)

Washington vs San Francisco: Touchdowns (Protected)

K 1.1K contracts
Christian McCaffrey: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 71.5%
Mike Evans: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 48.5%
George Kittle: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 44.5%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?

How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?

K 1.1K contracts
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in October 2026?Yes 95%
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.1% in October 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in October 2026?Yes 49%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in September?

Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in September?

K 1.0K contracts
Will Japan Inflation Rate YoY exceed Singapore Inflation Rate YoY for September 2026?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will wage satisfaction hit a new low in 2026?

Will wage satisfaction hit a new low in 2026?

K 1.0K contracts
Will satisfaction with wage compensation fall below 52.3% in 2026?Yes 48.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Temporary-help employment in October

Temporary-help employment in October

K 992.35 contracts
Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.440 million?Yes 50.5%
Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.500 million?Yes 48.5%
Will All Employees, Temporary Help Services for October 2026 be above 2.420 million?Yes 47%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in September?

Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in September?

K 983.29 contracts
Will United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY exceed Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY for September 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
ADP employment change in Nov 2026?

ADP employment change in Nov 2026?

K 977.65 contracts
ADP employment change in Nov 2026? (Above -25000)Yes 94%
ADP employment change in Nov 2026? (Above 0)Yes 79%
ADP employment change in Nov 2026? (Above 25000)Yes 64%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: 1st Buffalo Touchdown

Buffalo vs Las Vegas: 1st Buffalo Touchdown

K 962.23 contracts
James Cook III: 1st Buffalo TouchdownYes 25.5%
Josh Allen: 1st Buffalo TouchdownYes 20.5%
Dalton Kincaid: 1st Buffalo TouchdownYes 11%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September

Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September

K 952 contracts
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September 2026 be above -0.40?Yes 97%
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September 2026 be above -0.30?Yes 94.5%
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September 2026 be above -0.20?Yes 91.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as Q

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as Q

K 946.53 contracts
Will Ben Whishaw perform as Q in the next James Bond film?Yes 30.5%
Will Andrew Scott perform as Q in the next James Bond film?Yes 17%
Will Dev Patel perform as Q in the next James Bond film?Yes 15%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiSports
US unemployment rate at year-end 2031

US unemployment rate at year-end 2031

K 902 contracts
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 3.0%?Yes 91%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 3.5%?Yes 81%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 4.0%?Yes 75%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 16, 2032 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?

When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?

K 892.21 contracts
Will the Prime Minister of Canada announce lower tariffs on U.S. goods before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 53.5%
Will the Prime Minister of Canada announce lower tariffs on U.S. goods before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the Prime Minister of Canada announce lower tariffs on U.S. goods before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 41%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down

S&P 500 Daily Up/Down

K 890.53 contracts
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.41 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 30%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Total Fed dissents in 2026

Total Fed dissents in 2026

K 889.7 contracts
Total Fed dissents in 2026: exactly 8Yes 24.5%
Total Fed dissents in 2026: exactly 9Yes 23%
Total Fed dissents in 2026: exactly 7Yes 21%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033

US headline CPI inflation in December 2033

K 880.04 contracts
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 0.0%?Yes 89%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 1.0%?Yes 73.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 0.5%?Yes 63.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2034 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2027

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2027

K 848 contracts
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2027 be above 56.00%?Yes 98%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2027 be above 57.00%?Yes 95.5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2027 be above 56.50%?Yes 95.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Life360 monthly active users in fiscal 2026

Life360 monthly active users in fiscal 2026

K 845.13 contracts
Will Life360, Inc. report Above 109 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
Will Life360, Inc. report Above 110 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 92%
Will Life360, Inc. report Above 111 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 80%
+4 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2032

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2032

K 825 contracts
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2032 be above 56.00%?Yes 97%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2032 be above 56.50%?Yes 95.5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2032 be above 57.00%?Yes 94.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2033 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026

Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026

K 812.49 contracts
Will SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will SpaceX report Above 15.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will SpaceX report Above 16 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline May 16, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as Felix Leiter

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as Felix Leiter

K 810.92 contracts
Will Boyd Holbrook perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?Yes 12.5%
Will Anthony Mackie perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?Yes 11.5%
Will Steven Yeun perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?Yes 9%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Baltimore vs Cleveland: 1st Cleveland Touchdown

Baltimore vs Cleveland: 1st Cleveland Touchdown

K 806.69 contracts
Denzel Boston: 1st Cleveland TouchdownYes 28%
Jaleel McLaughlin: 1st Cleveland TouchdownYes 26.5%
KC Concepcion Jr.: 1st Cleveland TouchdownYes 26%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
UC tuition for 2027–28

UC tuition for 2027–28

K 792.49 contracts
Will the annual mandatory systemwide undergraduate tuition and fees for the University of California cohort first enrolled in AY 2027–28 for the 2027–28 academic year be above $16,000?Yes 91%
Will the annual mandatory systemwide undergraduate tuition and fees for the University of California cohort first enrolled in AY 2027–28 for the 2027–28 academic year be above $16,100?Yes 82%
Will the annual mandatory systemwide undergraduate tuition and fees for the University of California cohort first enrolled in AY 2027–28 for the 2027–28 academic year be above $16,200?Yes 71%
+3 moreNext deadline Aug 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?

S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?

K 772.13 contracts
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 80%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 78%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 72%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?

Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?

K 769.49 contracts
Will the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027 be above 3.7%?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Carolina vs Philadelphia: 1st Carolina Touchdown

Carolina vs Philadelphia: 1st Carolina Touchdown

K 768.52 contracts
No Touchdown: 1st Carolina TouchdownYes 26%
Chuba Hubbard: 1st Carolina TouchdownYes 23.5%
Jalen Coker: 1st Carolina TouchdownYes 18.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
South Africa inflation rate MoM for September

South Africa inflation rate MoM for September

K 752.42 contracts
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for September 2026 be above -0.4%?Yes 97.5%
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for September 2026 be above -0.2%?Yes 96.5%
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for September 2026 be above 0.0%?Yes 90.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M

K 742.52 contracts
Will Ralph Fiennes perform as M in the next James Bond film?Yes 34.5%
Will Charles Dance perform as M in the next James Bond film?Yes 12%
Will Olivia Colman perform as M in the next James Bond film?Yes 9.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Dallas vs Green Bay: 1st Dallas Touchdown

Dallas vs Green Bay: 1st Dallas Touchdown

K 742.39 contracts
Javonte Williams: 1st Dallas TouchdownYes 27%
CeeDee Lamb: 1st Dallas TouchdownYes 17.5%
George Pickens: 1st Dallas TouchdownYes 15.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Rocket Lab vehicles launched in fiscal 2026

Rocket Lab vehicles launched in fiscal 2026

K 741.97 contracts
Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 22 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026?Yes 89%
Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 23 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026?Yes 78%
Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 24 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026?Yes 62%
+9 moreNext deadline May 26, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New York J vs New England: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

New York J vs New England: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

K 737.92 contracts
Drake Maye: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 80%
Drake Maye: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 50%
Geno Smith: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

K 725.13 contracts
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 73.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 71%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 71%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New Orleans vs New York G: 1st New Orleans Touchdown

New Orleans vs New York G: 1st New Orleans Touchdown

K 695.34 contracts
No Touchdown: 1st New Orleans TouchdownYes 22.5%
Bryce Lance: 1st New Orleans TouchdownYes 22%
Kendre Miller: 1st New Orleans TouchdownYes 21.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

K 685.62 contracts
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 87%
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 40% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 15% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Orlando hotel room demand increase YoY in 2026?

Will Orlando hotel room demand increase YoY in 2026?

K 685.42 contracts
Will Metro Orlando’s hotel demand for 2026 be above 34.5 million room nights?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 17, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will OFAC end its Russian diesel import license?

Will OFAC end its Russian diesel import license?

K 674.79 contracts
Will the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) announce its revocation of, or an amendment to, Russia-related General License 135 so that the license no longer authorizes the importation into the United States of diesel fuel of Russian Federation origin before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

K 674.52 contracts
Jalon Daniels: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 80%
Aaron Rodgers: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49.5%
Aaron Rodgers: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Futu total funded accounts in fiscal 2026

Futu total funded accounts in fiscal 2026

K 670.6 contracts
Will Futu Holdings Limited report Above 4.1 million total funded accounts in fiscal 2026?Yes 87%
Will Futu Holdings Limited report Above 4.15 million total funded accounts in fiscal 2026?Yes 80%
Will Futu Holdings Limited report Above 4.2 million total funded accounts in fiscal 2026?Yes 65%
+5 moreNext deadline Jun 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026

K 657.85 contracts
Will the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin battery-electric passenger vehicles on December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET be above 0%?Yes 76%
Will the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin battery-electric passenger vehicles on December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET be above 10%?Yes 72%
Will the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin battery-electric passenger vehicles on December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET be above 20%?Yes 66.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026

South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026

K 652.88 contracts
Will South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 be above -0.4%?Yes 90.5%
Will South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 be above -0.2%?Yes 81.5%
Will South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 be above 0.0%?Yes 71.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: 1st Kansas City Touchdown

Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: 1st Kansas City Touchdown

K 647.62 contracts
Kenneth Walker III: 1st Kansas City TouchdownYes 30%
Travis Kelce: 1st Kansas City TouchdownYes 17%
Xavier Worthy: 1st Kansas City TouchdownYes 15%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
New Orleans vs New York G: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

New Orleans vs New York G: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

K 632.09 contracts
Jameis Winston: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 80%
Tyler Shough: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 50%
Tyler Shough: 4+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Baltimore vs Cleveland: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

Baltimore vs Cleveland: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

K 622.66 contracts
Tyler Huntley: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 80%
Deshaun Watson: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 50%
Tyler Huntley: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
NASDAQ-100 Daily Up/Down

NASDAQ-100 Daily Up/Down

K 618.12 contracts
Will the NASDAQ-100 be above 29187.55 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 32%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US nominal GDP growth in 2036

US nominal GDP growth in 2036

K 604.54 contracts
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 0.0%?Yes 94.5%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 0.5%?Yes 90%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 1.0%?Yes 85%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 4, 2037 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Okta customers with acv over $100k in fiscal 2027

Okta customers with acv over $100k in fiscal 2027

K 601 contracts
Will Okta, Inc. report Above 5350 customers with acv over $100k in fiscal 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will Okta, Inc. report Above 5375 customers with acv over $100k in fiscal 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will Okta, Inc. report Above 5400 customers with acv over $100k in fiscal 2027?Yes 65%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 23, 2026?

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 23, 2026?

K 595.8 contracts
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 87%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 86%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 82%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO?

When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO?

K 593.81 contracts
When will AppsFlyer IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 20%
When will AppsFlyer IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 16%
When will AppsFlyer IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 15%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Chicago vs Atlanta: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

Chicago vs Atlanta: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

K 579 contracts
Caleb Williams: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 80%
Michael Penix Jr.: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 50%
Caleb Williams: 5+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC