Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034

Total Volume

$490.04

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034

Vol

$490.04

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $490.04

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $490.04

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.00%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.00%?	Kalshi	97%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.50%?	Kalshi	95%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.00%?	Kalshi	94%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.50%?	Kalshi	91%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 58.00%?	Kalshi	88%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 58.50%?	Kalshi	86%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 59.00%?	Kalshi	78%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 59.50%?	Kalshi	69%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 60.00%?	Kalshi	59%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 60.50%?	Kalshi	50%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 61.00%?	Kalshi	41%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 61.50%?	Kalshi	32%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 62.00%?	Kalshi	22%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 62.50%?	Kalshi	13%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 63.00%?	Kalshi	10%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 63.50%?	Kalshi	7%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 64.00%?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$490.04

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

December 2034 If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2034 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2034. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2034 value, Kalshi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** December 2034

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2034 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2034. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2034 value, Kalshi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 is above 

64.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2034 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $490
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 64.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 63.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 63.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 62.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 62.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 61.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 61.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 60.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 60.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 59.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 59.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 58.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 58.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $215
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 12, 2035): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034

Volume$490.04

Markets17

17 of 17

Sort:

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.00%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 is above 56.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2034 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.50%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.50%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 is above 56.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2034 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.00%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 is above 57.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2034 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.50%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.0¢No 9.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.50%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 is above 57.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2034 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 58.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 58.00%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 is above 58.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2034 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

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55¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/BZ2Eqe" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034"></iframe>

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US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034

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Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.00%?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034

Markets (17)

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 58.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 58.00%?

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Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.00%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 56.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 57.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 58.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2034 be above 58.00%?

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