Politics prediction markets
6,953 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 2,209-2,256 of 6,953 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?
K 9.6K contractsWill the number of Republican governors be at least 21 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 88%
Will the number of Republican governors be at least 22 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 75%
Will the number of Republican governors be at least 23 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 58.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which party will win white voters in the midterms?
PM $25.5KWill Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Yes 80.5%
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?Yes 15.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
K 9.6K contractsWill legislation that establishes a multi-issue federal framework for artificial intelligence, combining federal technical standards or testing capacity with transparency, disclosure, or risk-management provisions, regardless of whether those provisions mandate private-sector compliance or promote voluntary guidelines for federal adoption become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
PM $25.5KRFK Jr. Out by December 31?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Navajo Nation presidential election winner?
K 9.6K contractsWill Justin Jones win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?Yes 58.5%
Will Crystalyne Curley win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?Yes 39.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 16.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-04 House winner?
K 9.6K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for VA-04?Yes 98%
Will Republican win the House race for VA-04?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 18% or more?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 21.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 14.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won
K 9.5K contractsWill PL hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 95%
Will PSD hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 3.5%
Will MDB hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-12 House Election Winner
PM $25.3KWill the Republican Party win the IL-12 House seat?Yes 97.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-12 House seat?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?
K 9.5K contractsWill the CDC end its recommendation for the COVID-19 vaccine?Yes 13.5%
Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Influenza vaccine?Yes 9%
Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Hepatitis B vaccine?Yes 5.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?
K 9.5K contractsWill Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 12 and 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 33%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 8 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 30.5%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 4 and 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 12%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-09 House Election Winner
PM $25.3KWill the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?Yes 69.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?Yes 29.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay
K 9.5K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 87%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 86%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AZ-08 House winner?
K 9.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AZ-08?Yes 88.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-08?Yes 11%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
PM $25.2KWill the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes 59.5%
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes 36%
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes 18%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Hampshire Governor margin of victory
K 9.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in New Hampshire be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 89.6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in New Hampshire be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in New Hampshire be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 65%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 34.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 14.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CO-08 House winner?
PM $25.2K · K 37.6K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CO-8?
Related contracts
PM Yes 84%Rules differK Yes 82.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CO-8?
Related contracts
PM Yes 15.5%Rules differK Yes 15.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Director
K 9.4K contractsWill Christopher Nolan be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 95%
Will Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
Will Denis Villeneuve be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin Senate winner? (2028)
K 9.4K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Wisconsin?Yes 62.5%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Wisconsin?Yes 37%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 27.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 25.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
K 9.4K contractsWill percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 56.0%?Yes 79%
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 58.0%?Yes 68%
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 60.0%?Yes 50.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
PM $25.2KWill a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NH-02 House winner?
K 9.4K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NH-02?Yes 96.5%
Will Republican win the House race for NH-02?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
PM $24.9KWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?Yes 42%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?Yes 17%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?Yes 16%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiElections
Will anyone win the Vermont Governor election outright?
K 9.4K contractsWill anyone win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial general election in the first round?Yes 69.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
PM $24.9KUK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kenya Senate election winner?
K 9.4K contractsWho will win the next Kenyan Senate election? (Coalition including ODM)Yes 52%
Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election? (Coalition including UDA)Yes 41%
Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election? (Coalition including DCP)Yes 6.7%
3 mktsNext deadline Aug 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
PM $24.9KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes 92.1%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes 8.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will Putin visit the U.S.?
K 9.4K contractsWill Vladimir Putin visit the United States before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 59.5%
Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 59%
Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which Senate races will be within 1%?
PM $24.7KWill the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Yes 20%
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Yes 20%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Comedy
K 9.4K contractsWill Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma be on the list of nominees for Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70%
Will Club Kid be on the list of nominees for Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 55%
Will The Sheep Detectives be on the list of nominees for Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 50.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
PM $24.7KWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-08 House winner?
K 9.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-08?Yes 94.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-08?Yes 5.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 19.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 18.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election winner?
K 9.4K contractsWho will win the next Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election? (Modern Revolutionary Party)Yes 74.5%
Who will win the next Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election? (People's Force)Yes 20%
Who will win the next Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election? (Dominican Liberation Party)Yes 4.9%
3 mktsNext deadline May 19, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 14.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 11.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Frank Bradley departure announced?
K 9.3K contractsWhen will Frank Bradley leave his position as USSOCOM Commander?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-12 House Election Winner
PM $24.7KWill the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?Yes 98%
Will the Republican Party win the PA-12 House seat?Yes 1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?
K 9.3K contractsWill Elon Musk support the Democratic candidate in 2028?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $24.7KWill Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Yes 97.2%
Will Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Yes 1.1%
Will Parveen Bola win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Yes 0.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Top U.S. Album by Total Equivalent Album Units: 2026
K 9.3K contractsWill I’m the Problem be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Albums of 2026 in U.S., by Total Equivalent Album Units, as Published by Billboard?Yes 78.5%
Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Albums of 2026 in U.S., by Total Equivalent Album Units, as Published by Billboard?Yes 12%
Will ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Albums of 2026 in U.S., by Total Equivalent Album Units, as Published by Billboard?Yes 3%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-02 House Election Winner
PM $24.7KWill the Democratic Party win the MD-02 House seat?Yes 95%
Will the Republican Party win the MD-02 House seat?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Next Black Panther film: Main protagonist
K 9.3K contractsWill Denzel Washington perform as the main protagonist in the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022)?Yes 9%
Will John David Washington perform as the main protagonist in the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022)?Yes 4%
Will Winston Duke perform as the main protagonist in the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022)?Yes 3.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PM $24.6KIsrael x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 31?Yes 2.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC