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Politics prediction markets

6,975 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 2,833-2,880 of 6,975 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
NM-01 House winner?

NM-01 House winner?

K 6.1K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for NM-01?Yes 96.6%
Will Republican win the House race for NM-01?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.2K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OK-05 House election: Jena Nelson vote percent

OK-05 House election: Jena Nelson vote percent

K 6.1K contracts
Will Jena Nelson receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Jena Nelson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Jena Nelson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 76.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Thunder Bay, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Thunder Bay, ON Mayoral Election Winner

PM $17.2K
Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Yes 43.5%
Will Aldo Ruberto win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Yes 30%
Will Moe Comuzzi win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Yes 25%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?

Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?

K 6.1K contracts
Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 56.5%
Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 42.5%
Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 32.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory

MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.2K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?Yes 60.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 11.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida State House winner?

Florida State House winner?

K 6.1K contracts
Who will win the Florida House of Representatives? (Republican party)Yes 92.5%
Who will win the Florida House of Representatives? (Democratic party)Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-17 House Election Margin of Victory

NY-17 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.2K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 23%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-06 House election: Moshe Landman vote percent

MD-06 House election: Moshe Landman vote percent

K 6.1K contracts
Will Moshe Landman receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 76%
Will Moshe Landman receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 37%
Will Moshe Landman receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 18.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory

ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.2K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ND-AL House election by 25%-30%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ND-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ND-AL House election by 35%-40%?Yes 15%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Governor election: Fredrick Love vote percent

Arkansas Governor election: Fredrick Love vote percent

K 6.1K contracts
Will Fredrick Love receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Fredrick Love receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Fredrick Love receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

PM $17.2K
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska's 2nd District margin of victory

Nebraska's 2nd District margin of victory

K 6.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nebraska's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 89.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nebraska's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nebraska's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 69%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

PM $17.2K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?Yes 39.7%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,250,000 and 3,500,000?Yes 22%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,750,000 and 4,000,000?Yes 13.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Serbia call its presidential election?

When will Serbia call its presidential election?

K 6.1K contracts
Will Serbia call its presidential election before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Serbia call its presidential election before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 24%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

PA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.2K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 15.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will France announce a snap election?

When will France announce a snap election?

K 6.1K contracts
Will France announce a snap election before Jan 2, 2027?Yes 8.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-02 House Election Winner

FL-02 House Election Winner

PM $17.1K
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?Yes 93%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 1st District margin of victory

New York's 1st District margin of victory

K 6.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

PM $17.1K
Will Aliyu Wadada Ahmed win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?Yes 70%
Will Emmanuel David Ombugadu win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?Yes 14.8%
Will Mohammed Abubakar Adamu win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?Yes 12.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-07 House winner?

MN-07 House winner?

K 6.1K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for MN-07?Yes 96.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for MN-07?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Delaware Senate Election: Turnout

Delaware Senate Election: Turnout

PM $17.1K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 375,000 and 400,000?Yes 26.7%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 350,000 and 375,000?Yes 25.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 325,000 and 350,000?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Trump impose capital controls?

Will Trump impose capital controls?

K 6.0K contracts
Will Trump impose capital controls before 2029?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

CO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.1K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
VA-07 House winner?

VA-07 House winner?

PM $17.0K · K 40.4K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-07 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for VA-07?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97%Rules differK Yes 97.4%

Will the Republican Party win the VA-07 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for VA-7?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 2.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Production Design

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Production Design

K 6.0K contracts
Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 95.5%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70.5%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky's 2nd District margin of victory

Kentucky's 2nd District margin of victory

K 6.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 92.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 78%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 64.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-15 House Election Margin of Victory

OH-15 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.0K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 20.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Kentucky vote to limit gubernatorial election-period pardons?

Will Kentucky vote to limit gubernatorial election-period pardons?

K 6.0K contracts
Will Amendment 1 pass?Yes 94.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UT-03 House Election Winner

UT-03 House Election Winner

PM $17.0K
Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?Yes 98.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?

When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?

K 6.0K contracts
Will JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 78%
Will JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 70.5%
Will JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 53%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-06 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

GA-06 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

PM $17.0K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 39.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Senate election: Ted Brown vote percent

Texas Senate election: Ted Brown vote percent

K 6.0K contracts
Will Ted Brown receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ted Brown receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 54.5%
Will Ted Brown receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 18.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

PM $17.0K
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

K 6.0K contracts
Will Hungary hold a referendum on leaving the EU?Yes 7.4%
Will Greece hold a referendum on leaving the EU?Yes 4.5%
Will Italy hold a referendum on leaving the EU?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.0K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner

Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner

PM $16.9K · K 412.4 contracts

Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 95.3%Rules differK Yes 90.5%

Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.3%Rules differK Yes 7%

Will Zuzana Šubová win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Senate winner? (2028)

Kansas Senate winner? (2028)

K 6.0K contracts
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kansas?Yes 73.5%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kansas?Yes 27%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-05 House winner?

NC-05 House winner?

K 6.0K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for NC-05?Yes 88.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-05?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory

Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.9K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CT-01 House winner?

CT-01 House winner?

K 6.0K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for CT-01?Yes 95%
Will Republican win the House race for CT-01?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.9K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 22.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory

Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory

K 5.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 29%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-06 House Election Margin of Victory

KY-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.9K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory

Alabama's 7th District margin of victory

K 5.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Alabama's 7th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 95.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Alabama's 7th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Alabama's 7th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 93.2%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-08 House Election Winner

AZ-08 House Election Winner

PM $16.8K
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?Yes 88%
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-05 House election: Chris Chaffee vote percent

MD-05 House election: Chris Chaffee vote percent

K 5.9K contracts
Will Chris Chaffee receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Chris Chaffee receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Chris Chaffee receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.8K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 20.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC