Politics prediction markets
6,975 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 3,265-3,312 of 6,975 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiElections
Will Josh Turek outperform the polls?
K 4.7K contractsWill Josh Turek outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa?Yes 35.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position
K 4.7K contractsMax Verstappen is awarded Pole PositionYes 46%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli is awarded Pole PositionYes 29.5%
Charles Leclerc is awarded Pole PositionYes 13.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?Yes 89%
Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?Yes 66%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $13.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 14.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
TX-28 House winner?
PM $13.4K · K 234.8K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for TX-28?
Related contracts
PM Yes 91%Rules differK Yes 92.1%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for TX-28?
Related contracts
PM Yes 9%Rules differK Yes 8.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 29%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 12.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 36%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 24%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 11.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 36%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey Senate margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 94.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 87.3%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
PM $13.4KWill Trump end Department of Education before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
College Football Teams to Qualify for a Bowl Game
K 4.6K contractsTexas selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football PlayoffYes 90%
Georgia selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football PlayoffYes 88%
Oklahoma selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football PlayoffYes 85%
+117 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Senate margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage point?Yes 33.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 20%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 13%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
PM $13.4KJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?
K 4.6K contractsWill the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 20.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the polls?
K 4.6K contractsWill Abdul El-Sayed outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?Yes 46%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round)
K 4.6K contractsWill Ronald Russell receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ronald Russell receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Ronald Russell receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 85.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New York Governor Election: Turnout
PM $13.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?Yes 42%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Yes 21%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be 7,000,000 or more?Yes 14.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 5th District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?Yes 79.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will James Talarico outperform the polls?
K 4.6K contractsWill James Talarico outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas?Yes 38%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?
PM $13.3KWill 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 36%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 26%
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 14.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q3
K 4.6K contractsWill Shopify Inc. report Above $110 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Shopify Inc. report Above $113 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will Shopify Inc. report Above $116 billion gross merchandise volume in Q3 2026?Yes 77.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 12% or more?Yes 18.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 15.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 7th District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 94.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 7th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 92.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
PM $13.2KWill Rebels capture Gao by December 31?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 86%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 49.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 40.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 3% or more?Yes 21.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 65%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 49%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
PM $13.2KCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-06 House election: Ben Cline vote percent
K 4.6K contractsWill Ben Cline receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ben Cline receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Ben Cline receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-06 House election?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-01 House election: Chad Humphrey vote percent
K 4.6K contractsWill Chad Humphrey receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 65%
Will Chad Humphrey receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 19.5%
Will Chad Humphrey receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 7%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 30%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Top 3 Fantasy D/ST
K 4.5K contractsWill MIN Vikings D/ST be a top 3 fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 71.5%
Will PHI Eagles D/ST be a top 3 fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 55%
Will BUF Bills D/ST be a top 3 fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 54.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 23.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?
K 4.5K contractsWill James McDonald be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Alabama Senate winner?
PM $13.2K · K 14.2K contractsWill the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alabama?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97%Rules differK Yes 97.5%
Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alabama?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?
K 4.5K contractsWill the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CT-01 House Election Winner
PM $13.2KWill the Democratic Party win the CT-01 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Republican Party win the CT-01 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
British Columbia general election: 2nd place
PM $13.1K · K 20.5K contractsWill NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Kalshi: Will BC NDP finish 2nd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 84%Rules differK Yes 78.5%
Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Kalshi: Will BC Conservatives finish 2nd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 15%
Will OneBC win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Kalshi: Will OneBC finish 2nd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-06 House election: John Peterson vote percent
K 4.5K contractsWill John Peterson receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will John Peterson receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will John Peterson receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-06 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will West Virginia require voters to be U.S. and West Virginia citizens?
K 4.5K contractsWill Amendment 1 pass?Yes 96.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?
PM $13.1KFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.1%
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC