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Politics prediction markets

6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 3,697-3,744 of 6,972 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Utah?

Which ballot measures will pass in Utah?

K 3.6K contracts
Will H.J.R. 10 pass?Yes 73.5%
Will S.J.R. 2 pass?Yes 65.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory

MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $9.6K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Illinois?

How many House seats will Democrats win in Illinois?

K 3.6K contracts
Will Democrats win exactly 14 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Illinois?Yes 92.5%
Will Democrats win more than 14 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Illinois?Yes 5%
Will Democrats win exactly 13 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Illinois?Yes 3%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory

Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $9.6K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 3rd District margin of victory

New York's 3rd District margin of victory

K 3.6K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 67%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 53.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

PM $9.6K
Will Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Yes 77%
Will Rotimi Babajide win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Yes 8.2%
Will Bolaji Odusina win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.7%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MS-01 House election: Trent Kelly vote percent

MS-01 House election: Trent Kelly vote percent

K 3.5K contracts
Will Trent Kelly receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-01 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Trent Kelly receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-01 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Trent Kelly receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-01 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

PM $9.5K
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?Yes 13.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KY-04 House election: Ed Gallrein vote percent

KY-04 House election: Ed Gallrein vote percent

K 3.5K contracts
Will Ed Gallrein receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ed Gallrein receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ed Gallrein receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?Yes 95%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

PM $9.5K
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 800,000 and 900,000?Yes 39%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 700,000 and 800,000?Yes 27.5%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 900,000 and 1,000,000?Yes 26.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Milwaukee County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent

Milwaukee County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent

K 3.5K contracts
Will David Crowley receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Milwaukee County, Wisconsin?Yes 96.5%
Will David Crowley receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Milwaukee County, Wisconsin?Yes 90%
Will David Crowley receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Milwaukee County, Wisconsin?Yes 70%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory

Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $9.5K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 18.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Mexico Governor margin of victory

New Mexico Governor margin of victory

K 3.5K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Mexico be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 90.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Mexico be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Mexico be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Košice Mayoral Election Winner

Košice Mayoral Election Winner

PM $9.5K
Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes 61.5%
Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes 28%
Will Martin Mudrák win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Nov 8 AP Poll

College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Nov 8 AP Poll

K 3.5K contracts
Will Ohio St. be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026)?Yes 96%
Will Notre Dame be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026)?Yes 96%
Will Georgia be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026)?Yes 95%
+72 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Enugu, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Enugu, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

PM $9.5K
Will Mbah Peter Ndubuisi win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?Yes 74.5%
Will James Ene Nwannaji win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?Yes 13%
Will Dona Nwogbo win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-03 House election: Bethany Mann vote percent

MO-03 House election: Bethany Mann vote percent

K 3.5K contracts
Will Bethany Mann receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-03 House election?Yes 94%
Will Bethany Mann receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-03 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Bethany Mann receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-03 House election?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $9.4K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 25% or more?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory

Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory

K 3.5K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 61%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 47.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 29.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NYC Mayor # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

PM $9.4K
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 2.8%
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 0.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

K 3.5K contracts
Will the European Union agree to or announce that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Henderson Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Henderson Mayoral Election Winner

PM $9.4K
Will Michelle Romero win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?Yes 82.5%
Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?Yes 17.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
MI-10 House winner?

MI-10 House winner?

PM $9.4K · K 25.4K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for MI-10?

Related contracts

PM Yes 65.5%Rules differK Yes 67%

Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for MI-10?

Related contracts

PM Yes 34.5%Rules differK Yes 34.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 20, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 20, 2026?

K 3.5K contracts
Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.0 on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 7.9 on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be below 7.8 on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 17.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montana governor winner? (2028)

Montana governor winner? (2028)

K 3.5K contracts
Will the Republican party win the governorship in MontanaYes 86.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in MontanaYes 9.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

PM $9.4K
Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Yes 36%
Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Yes 11%
Will Shooters, Fishers, Farmers win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Yes 6.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-05 House election: Virginia Foxx vote percent

NC-05 House election: Virginia Foxx vote percent

K 3.5K contracts
Will Virginia Foxx receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-05 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Virginia Foxx receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-05 House election?Yes 76.5%
Will Virginia Foxx receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-05 House election?Yes 54.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Windsor, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Windsor, ON Mayoral Election Winner

PM $9.3K
Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?Yes 66.5%
Will Fred Francis win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?Yes 32.5%
Will Aaron Day win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026

K 3.5K contracts
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 10.8 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 10.6 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 11 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 94%
+5 moreNext deadline May 6, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by...?

Saudi troops enter Sanaa by...?

PM $9.3K
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas's 4th District margin of victory

Kansas's 4th District margin of victory

K 3.5K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 89.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 78.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 66.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?

PM $9.3K
Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)

LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)

K 3.5K contracts
Will Mike Johnson receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 68.5%
Will Mike Johnson receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 59.5%
Will Mike Johnson receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 48.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

SC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $9.2K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AR-02 House election: Chris Jones vote percent

AR-02 House election: Chris Jones vote percent

K 3.5K contracts
Will Chris Jones receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?Yes 97%
Will Chris Jones receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Chris Jones receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?Yes 90.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-08 House Election Margin of Victory

MA-08 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $9.2K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-02 House election: Dave Wallace vote percent

MD-02 House election: Dave Wallace vote percent

K 3.5K contracts
Will Dave Wallace receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Dave Wallace receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Dave Wallace receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

PM $9.2K
Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?Yes 58%
Will 1 Independent be elected to Congress in 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will 2 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?Yes 6%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?

Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?

K 3.5K contracts
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 37 and 39.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 40 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 34 and 36.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 16.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

PM $9.1K
Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 76.5%
Will Gabriel Attal, but not Édouard Philippe, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 12.8%
Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 7%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Rhode Island 01 House General Election: voter turnout

Rhode Island 01 House General Election: voter turnout

K 3.5K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 01 House General Election be above 133000?Yes 91%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 01 House General Election be above 141000?Yes 83%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 01 House General Election be above 149000?Yes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Montana Senate Election: Turnout

Montana Senate Election: Turnout

PM $9.1K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 500,000 and 550,000?Yes 40.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 450,000 and 500,000?Yes 31.6%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be 600,000 or more?Yes 9%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Ekstraklasa Champion

Ekstraklasa Champion

K 3.5K contracts
Will Gornik Zabrze win the Ekstraklasa?Yes 41.5%
Will Wisla Krakow win the Ekstraklasa?Yes 38.5%
Will Wieczysta Krakow win the Ekstraklasa?Yes 38.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Jun 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Alabama?

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Alabama?

PM $9.1K
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 70.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 29.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 2.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AZ-01 House election: Jay Feely vote percent

AZ-01 House election: Jay Feely vote percent

K 3.5K contracts
Will Jay Feely receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-01 House election?Yes 96%
Will Jay Feely receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-01 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jay Feely receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-01 House election?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

PM $9.0K
Will Obafemi Hamzat win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?Yes 81.5%
Will Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?Yes 8.6%
Will Sowore Robert win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?Yes 4.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York State Senate winner?

New York State Senate winner?

K 3.5K contracts
Who will win the New York Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 98.5%
Who will win the New York Senate? (Republican party)Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Košice Region Governor Election Winner

Košice Region Governor Election Winner

PM $9.0K
Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Yes 64.5%
Will Marián Porvažník win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Yes 24.5%
Will Igor Šimko win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Yes 12.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC