Politics prediction markets
6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 3,841-3,888 of 6,972 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota's 7th District margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 7th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 7th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 7th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 64.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oregon Senate Election Winner
PM $7.5KWill the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?Yes 98.2%
Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
K 3.3K contractsWill Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 51%
Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 50%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $7.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 42%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Iowa Attorney General winner?
PM $7.5K · K 41.4K contractsWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Iowa?
Related contracts
PM Yes 54.5%Rules differK Yes 57.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Iowa?
Related contracts
PM Yes 44.5%Rules differK Yes 44.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WV-02 House winner?
K 3.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for WV-02?Yes 96.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for WV-02?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-14 House winner?
K 3.3K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IL-14?Yes 96.4%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-14?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Sergipe
PM $7.5KWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?Yes 98.2%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Natalie Harp White House departure announced?
K 3.3K contractsWill Natalie Harp announce their departure as Special Assistant and Executive Assistant to the President before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 43.5%
Will Natalie Harp announce their departure as Special Assistant and Executive Assistant to the President before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will Natalie Harp announce their departure as Special Assistant and Executive Assistant to the President before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 2%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?
PM $7.5KSullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law?
K 3.3K contractsWill legislation that channels government funds directly into HSAs and/or FSAs become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Glenorchy Mayoral Election Winner
PM $7.5KWill Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?Yes 60%
Will Russell Yaxley win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?Yes 13.5%
Will Nathan Volf win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?Yes 11.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Los Angeles County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Xavier Becerra receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Los Angeles County, California?Yes 96.5%
Will Xavier Becerra receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Los Angeles County, California?Yes 95%
Will Xavier Becerra receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Los Angeles County, California?Yes 90%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?
PM $7.4KIlhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-29 House election: Sylvia Garcia vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Sylvia Garcia receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-29 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Sylvia Garcia receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-29 House election?Yes 80%
Will Sylvia Garcia receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-29 House election?Yes 67%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ted Cruz # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PM $7.4KWill Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 36.3%
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 24%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Gina Hinojosa receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Gina Hinojosa receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump meets with Netanyahu by...?
PM $7.3KWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by December 31, 2026?Yes 52%
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
In what year will the next UK general election be held?
K 3.3K contractsWill it be confirmed that 2029 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?Yes 49%
Will it be confirmed that 2028 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?Yes 28%
Will it be confirmed that 2027 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?Yes 15.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $7.3KWill Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election?Yes 83.5%
Will Liu Chien-kuo win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-08 House election: Christopher Reichard vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Christopher Reichard receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-08 House election?Yes 97%
Will Christopher Reichard receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-08 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Christopher Reichard receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-08 House election?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
PM $7.2KWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
K 3.3K contractsWill Fireworks Initiative pass?Yes 53.5%
Will War Materiel Act amendment pass?Yes 43.5%
Will AHV VAT financing pass?Yes 21%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Banská Bystrica Region Governor Election Winner
PM $7.2KWill Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?Yes 96.3%
Will Miroslav Suja win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?Yes 1.6%
Will Roman Malatinec win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?Yes 0.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
MVP Finalists
K 3.3K contractsWill Josh Allen be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Most Valuable Player award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 58%
Will Bijan Robinson be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Most Valuable Player award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 53.5%
Will Trevor Lawrence be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Most Valuable Player award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 52%
+38 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sokoto, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $7.2KWill Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?Yes 53.5%
Will Manir Muhammad Dan Iya win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?Yes 23%
Will Mustapha Shehu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?Yes 2.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 3rd District margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 3rd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 90.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 3rd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 3rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Chiapas Congress Election Winner
PM $7.2KWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election?Yes 62%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election?Yes 12.5%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
New Hampshire Governor margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Hampshire be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nigerian Senate Election Winner
PM $7.2KWill the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Yes 78.5%
Will the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Yes 8.5%
Will the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 17, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Vermont Governor election: Phil Scott vote percent
K 3.3K contractsWill Phil Scott receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
Will Phil Scott receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 83.5%
Will Phil Scott receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 65.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kingborough Mayoral Election Winner
PM $7.2KWill Jo Westwood win the next Kingborough mayoral election?Yes 52.5%
Will Aldo Antolli win the next Kingborough mayoral election?Yes 38.5%
Will Kim Phillips win the next Kingborough mayoral election?Yes 9.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota's 8th District margin of victory
K 3.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 68%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 60%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
PM $7.1KTurkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Dakota governor winner? (2028)
K 3.3K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in North DakotaYes 85.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in North DakotaYes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 North Las Vegas Mayoral Election Winner
PM $7.1KWill Daniele Monroe-Moreno win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?Yes 81%
Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?Yes 14.5%
2 mkts
KalshiSports
Tennessee: Team Specials
K 3.3K contractsThe Tennessee Pro Football Team records 8+ sacks in a single game?Yes 50.5%
The Tennessee Pro Football Team records 400+ passing yards in a single game?Yes 50.5%
Carnell Tate records 175+ receiving yards in a single game?Yes 50%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?
PM $7.1KLe Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?Yes 26.9%
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
PM $7.1K · K 13.0K contractsWill Elon register any party before 2027?
Kalshi: Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 8.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-13 House winner?
K 3.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NY-13?Yes 96.8%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-13?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?
K 3.2K contractsWill Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 75.5%
Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 70.5%
Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 62.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 16, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?
PM $7.1KDon Lemon sentenced to prison?Yes 3.3%
1 mkt
KalshiPolitics
Indiana's 1st District margin of victory
K 3.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 86.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 78.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $7.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OK-05 House election: Stephanie Bice vote percent
K 3.2K contractsWill Stephanie Bice receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Stephanie Bice receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 76.5%
Will Stephanie Bice receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-05 House election?Yes 60.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Houthi military action against Mecca by...?
PM $7.1KHouthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.8%
Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
K 3.2K contractsWill Alice Weidel become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?Yes 39%
Will Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?Yes 16%
Will No one become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Aug 26, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which party will win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election?
PM $7.0KWill Democrats win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election?Yes 96.4%
Will Republicans win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC