Politics prediction markets
6,946 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 4,225-4,272 of 6,946 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

KY-03 House election: Maria Teresa Rodriguez vote percent
K 2.7K contractsWill Maria Teresa Rodriguez receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Maria Teresa Rodriguez receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?Yes 91%
Will Maria Teresa Rodriguez receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?
PM $3.7KWill the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 91.6%
Will the Democratic Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 5.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida 10 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.7K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Florida 10 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 3.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 10 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 3%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 10 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?
PM $3.7KMichigan Senate favorite on November 2?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NM-02 House election: Gabe Vasquez vote percent
K 2.7K contractsWill Gabe Vasquez receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-02 House election?Yes 96%
Will Gabe Vasquez receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-02 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Gabe Vasquez receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-02 House election?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition
PM $3.7KCalifornia Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold PropositionYes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Altria Group cigarette shipments in Q3
K 2.6K contractsWill Altria Group Inc. report Above 14.25 billion cigarette shipments in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 14 billion cigarette shipments in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 14.5 billion cigarette shipments in Q3 2026?Yes 90%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?
PM $3.7KSaxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?Yes 18%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Rhode Island's 2nd District margin of victory
K 2.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 96.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 92.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New South Wales Parliamentary Election Winner
PM $3.6KWill Labor win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Yes 63%
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Yes 19%
Will One Nation win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Yes 9.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

KY-01 House election: Drew Williams vote percent
K 2.6K contractsWill Drew Williams receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-01 House election?Yes 92%
Will Drew Williams receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-01 House election?Yes 85%
Will Drew Williams receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-01 House election?Yes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Kolkata Municipal Election Winner
PM $3.6KWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?Yes 92.5%
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?Yes 5.2%
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?Yes 4.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-03 House election: Keith Self vote percent
K 2.6K contractsWill Keith Self receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-03 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Keith Self receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-03 House election?Yes 82%
Will Keith Self receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-03 House election?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

San Luis Potosí Congress Election Winner
PM $3.6KWill PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election?Yes 41.5%
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election?Yes 27%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Indiana Senate winner? (2028)
K 2.6K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in Indiana?Yes 92.2%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Indiana?Yes 8.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Lai Ching-te visits US by...?
PM $3.6KLai Ching-te visits US by June 30?Yes 11%
Lai Ching-te visits US by December 31?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Ohio Supreme Court: Hawkins seat winner?
K 2.6K contractsWho will win the 2026 Ohio Supreme Court election for the full term commencing January 1, 2027? (Dan Hawkins)Yes 75.5%
Who will win the 2026 Ohio Supreme Court election for the full term commencing January 1, 2027? (Marilyn Zayas)Yes 22%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
PM $3.6KWill Trump visit Gaza in 2026?Yes 2.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OK-02 House winner?
K 2.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OK-02?Yes 97%
Will Democratic win the House race for OK-02?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?
PM $3.6K2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Apr 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OH-07 House election: Brian Poindexter vote percent
K 2.6K contractsWill Brian Poindexter receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-07 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Brian Poindexter receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-07 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Brian Poindexter receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-07 House election?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Georgia Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
PM $3.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?Yes 60.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?Yes 38.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MA-04 House winner?
K 2.6K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for MA-04?Yes 97.4%
Will Republican win the House race for MA-04?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Senate Three-Way Combo: Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska
PM $3.5KWill Republicans win the Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?Yes 42%
Will Democrats win the Iowa Senate seat, Republicans win Kansas, and an independent win Nebraska?Yes 18%
Will Democrats win the Iowa and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OH-14 House election: Dave Joyce vote percent
K 2.6K contractsWill Dave Joyce receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-14 House election?Yes 89%
Will Dave Joyce receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-14 House election?Yes 77%
Will Dave Joyce receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-14 House election?Yes 58%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PM $3.5KWill Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Yes 50.5%
Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Yes 24.5%
Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Yes 14.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida's 24th District margin of victory
K 2.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 24th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 96.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 24th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 95.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 24th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 93.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?
PM $3.5KOhio Senate favorite on November 2?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions?
K 2.6K contractsWill it be reported by the government of Ontario that Ontario ends its broad restrictions on U.S.-produced beverage alcohol by putting into effect a policy authorizing the LCBO to generally resume purchasing and supplying those products for ordinary commercial sale in the province before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 44%
Will it be reported by the government of Ontario that Ontario ends its broad restrictions on U.S.-produced beverage alcohol by putting into effect a policy authorizing the LCBO to generally resume purchasing and supplying those products for ordinary commercial sale in the province before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?
PM $3.5KWill none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?Yes 33%
Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?Yes 28%
Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?Yes 15.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

LA-01 House election: Lauren Jewett vote percent (1st Round)
K 2.6K contractsWill Lauren Jewett receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-01 House election?Yes 94%
Will Lauren Jewett receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-01 House election?Yes 82%
Will Lauren Jewett receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-01 House election?Yes 63%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?
PM $3.5KImran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

When will the UK's social media ban take effect?
K 2.6K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect before Aug 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 56.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition
PM $3.5KCalifornia Homebuying Loan Program PropositionYes 80.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?
K 2.6K contractsWill Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Michigan Senate Election: Genesee County Winner
PM $3.4KWill the Democrats win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will the Republicans win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 13.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California 48 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.6K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 48 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 48 House General Election be above 178000?Yes 89.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 48 House General Election be above 186000?Yes 83.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nuevo León Congress Election Winner
PM $3.4KWill PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?Yes 43%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?Yes 37%
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?Yes 20%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-08 House election: Hakeem Jeffries vote percent
K 2.6K contractsWill Hakeem Jeffries receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-08 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Hakeem Jeffries receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-08 House election?Yes 91%
Will Hakeem Jeffries receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-08 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CA-37 House Election Winner
PM $3.4KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-37 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-37 House seat?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MO-01 House winner?
K 2.6K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for MO-01?Yes 97.9%
Will Republican win the House race for MO-01?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $3.4KWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-08 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 38.6%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-08 House election by 15%-25%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-24 House election: Claudia Tenney vote percent
K 2.6K contractsWill Claudia Tenney receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 96%
Will Claudia Tenney receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 91%
Will Claudia Tenney receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 80%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraíba
PM $3.3KWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes 96.5%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois's 9th District margin of victory
K 2.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?Yes 95.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?Yes 76%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?
PM $3.3KArizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Yes 65%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-08 House election: Cheryl Riley vote percent
K 2.6K contractsWill Cheryl Riley receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Cheryl Riley receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 91%
Will Cheryl Riley receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...?
PM $3.3KUS x North Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC