Market snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia?

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Who will be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia?

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Niki Sharma at 18.5%.

Kalshi

Niki Sharma18.5%
Josie Osborne16%
Bowinn Ma14%
Ravi Kahlon13.5%
Brad West13.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

7 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Niki Sharma be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Niki Sharma be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	18.5%
Will Josie Osborne be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	16.0%
Will Bowinn Ma be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	14.0%
Will Ravi Kahlon be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	13.5%
Will Brad West be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	13.5%
Will Adrian Dix be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	10.5%
Will Mike Farnworth be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	9.5%

Rules & Resolution

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AI Analysis

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K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2028 If X formally holds the position of leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Who will be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia?
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 7 of 7 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Ravi Kahlon be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBCNDPLEAD-28JAN01-RKAH; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbcndplead-28jan01
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 13.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ravi Kahlon formally holds the position of leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Contract: Will Niki Sharma be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBCNDPLEAD-28JAN01-NSHA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbcndplead-28jan01
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 18.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Niki Sharma formally holds the position of leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Contract: Will Mike Farnworth be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBCNDPLEAD-28JAN01-MFAR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbcndplead-28jan01
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Mike Farnworth formally holds the position of leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Contract: Will Josie Osborne be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBCNDPLEAD-28JAN01-JOSB; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbcndplead-28jan01
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 16.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Josie Osborne formally holds the position of leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Contract: Will Brad West be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBCNDPLEAD-28JAN01-BWES; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbcndplead-28jan01
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 13.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Brad West formally holds the position of leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Contract: Will Bowinn Ma be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBCNDPLEAD-28JAN01-BMA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbcndplead-28jan01
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 14.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Bowinn Ma formally holds the position of leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Contract: Will Adrian Dix be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBCNDPLEAD-28JAN01-ADIX; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbcndplead-28jan01
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Adrian Dix formally holds the position of leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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KALSHIElections

Who will be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia?

Volume$0.00

Markets7

7 of 7

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Will Niki Sharma be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

kalshi

Will Niki Sharma be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes: 18.5¢
No: 81.5¢

Will Josie Osborne be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

kalshi

Will Josie Osborne be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes: 16.0¢
No: 84.0¢

Will Bowinn Ma be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

kalshi

Will Bowinn Ma be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes: 14.0¢
No: 86.0¢

Will Ravi Kahlon be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

kalshi

Will Ravi Kahlon be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes: 13.5¢
No: 86.5¢

Will Brad West be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

kalshi

Will Brad West be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes: 13.5¢
No: 86.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Saved prices; check contract rules.

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Jan 08, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC

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Who will be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia?

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