Politics prediction markets
6,940 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 4,657-4,704 of 6,940 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Which leaders will meet before 2027?
K 2.1K contractsWill Lula and Milei meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 64%
Will Takaichi and Xi meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 58%
Will Putin and Carney meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: Pennsylvania or Illinois?
PM $125.3Closer Governor Race: Pennsylvania or Illinois?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World keynote?
K 2.1K contractsWhat will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World — Oracle: Where AI Means Business originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Fusion Claw)Yes 81.5%
What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World — Oracle: Where AI Means Business originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Health / Healthy)Yes 80.5%
What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World — Oracle: Where AI Means Business originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Oracle Cloud Infrastructure / OCI)Yes 71.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?
PM $122.2Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Pennsylvania ban Flock cameras?
K 2.1K contractsWill a Flock ban become law in Pennsylvania before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 46.5%
Will a flock ban become law in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?
PM $121.78Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?Yes 48%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
K 2.1K contractsWill China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 68.5%
Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 54%
Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 33.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?
PM $108.68Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?Yes 45%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-26 House election: Brandon Gill vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Brandon Gill receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-26 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Brandon Gill receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-26 House election?Yes 84%
Will Brandon Gill receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-26 House election?Yes 68%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?
PM $108.51Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?Yes 15.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-13 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IL-13?Yes 97.2%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-13?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?
PM $107.74Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana's 1st District margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 94.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 87.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CNN denied entry from White House again by...?
PM $104.37CNN barred from White House again by October 31?Yes 37.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?
K 2.0K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?Yes 18%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 18, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition
PM $98California Retroactive Tax Prohibition PropositionYes 69.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
K 2.0K contractsWill Katherine LaNasa be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 89%
Will Allison Janney be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 75%
Will Taylor Dearden be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 60.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-25 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $97.8Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-25 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 42%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-25 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-25 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Senate winner? (2028)
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in California?Yes 87.1%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in California?Yes 13.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?
PM $95Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?Yes 27%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-21 House election: Kristin Hook vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Kristin Hook receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 97%
Will Kristin Hook receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 95%
Will Kristin Hook receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 87.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-44 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $91.88Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-44 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-44 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-44 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-04 House election: Betty McCollum vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Betty McCollum receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-04 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Betty McCollum receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-04 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Betty McCollum receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-04 House election?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-51 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $79.42Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-51 House election by 40% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-51 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-51 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 36.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 10th District margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 61.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 45%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Balkan Bonanza: Serbia and Bulgaria Elections Combo
PM $77.91Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?Yes 67%
Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?Yes 35%
Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?Yes 14%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Rhode Island Governor election: Dan McKee vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Dan McKee receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election?Yes 2.5%
Will Dan McKee receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election?Yes 2.5%
Will Dan McKee receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election?Yes 2.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $76.82Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-01 House election by 30% or more?Yes 37%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-24 House election: Ken Estes vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Ken Estes receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Ken Estes receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Ken Estes receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-38 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $76Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-38 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-38 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-38 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 37.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Clark County, Nevada: Aaron Ford vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Aaron Ford receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?Yes 96.5%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?Yes 89.5%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?Yes 74.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-42 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $74.58Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-42 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 40%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-42 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-42 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 37.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-29 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-29?Yes 96.5%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-29?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $74.38Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-08 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-08 House election by 30% or more?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Governor election: Cindy Holscher vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Cindy Holscher receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Cindy Holscher receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election?Yes 95%
Will Cindy Holscher receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election?Yes 86.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-18 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $65.26Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-18 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-18 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-18 House election by 5%-15%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee Senate election: Bill Hagerty vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Bill Hagerty receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Bill Hagerty receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bill Hagerty receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 94.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Josh Turek runs behind Rob Sand by...?
PM $64.65Will Josh Turek run 3 to 6 points behind Rob Sand?Yes 43.5%
Will Josh Turek run 6 to 9 points behind Rob Sand?Yes 40.5%
Will Josh Turek run ahead of Rob Sand?Yes 39%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-04 House election: William Timmons vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill William Timmons receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will William Timmons receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 87%
Will William Timmons receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $64Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-03 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-03 House election by 15% or more?Yes 37%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-03 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 36%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DE-AL House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for DE-AL?Yes 98.8%
Will Republican win the House race for DE-AL?Yes 1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-50 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $62Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-50 House election by 40% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-50 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-50 House election by 0%-10%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota's 6th District margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 91.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 76%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-19 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $61.29Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-19 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 41.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-19 House election by 50% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-19 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-13 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for PA-13?Yes 96.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-13?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Highest third-place vote share in a 2026 Senate race?
PM $61Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?Yes 62%
Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 8% of the vote in 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 12% of the vote in 2026?Yes 58%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida 12 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.0K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Florida 12 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 12 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 74.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 12 House General Election be above 310000?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-47 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $59Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-47 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-47 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-47 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC