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Politics prediction markets

6,940 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories

Showing 4,705-4,752 of 6,940 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy
South Africa rate decision in November

South Africa rate decision in November

PM $50.64 · K 401.47 contracts

Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 59.5%Rules differK Yes 55%

Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank hike more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 39.5%Rules differK Yes 42.5%

Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?

Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?

K 2.0K contracts
Will the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) announce a decision to pursue the division of PJM Interconnection into two or more independently governed regional grid operators before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DC Circuit rules for AP on Oval Office access before 2028?

DC Circuit rules for AP on Oval Office access before 2028?

K 2.0K contracts
Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit rule affirms the April 8, 2025 preliminary injunction as it applies to the Oval Office, Air Force One or Mar-a-Lago?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $50
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-28 House election?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-28 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-28 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Governor margin of victory

Kansas Governor margin of victory

K 2.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 22%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Kansas be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 10.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-33 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-33 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $50
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-33 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-33 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-33 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory

Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory

K 2.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 1st District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 96.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 1st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 92.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 1st District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-46 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-46 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $48
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-46 House election by 35% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-46 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-46 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon's 2nd District margin of victory

Oregon's 2nd District margin of victory

K 2.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oregon's 2nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 94%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oregon's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 89.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oregon's 2nd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 79%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-26 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-26 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $45
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-26 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-26 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-26 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MA-03 House winner?

MA-03 House winner?

K 2.0K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for MA-03?Yes 97.2%
Will Republican win the House race for MA-03?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

WA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $44.79
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-01 House election by 45% or more?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the House pass additional defense funding?

Will the House pass additional defense funding?

K 2.0K contracts
Will legislation that provides supplemental appropriations to the Department of Defense beyond regular annual defense appropriations passed the House before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will legislation that provides supplemental appropriations to the Department of Defense beyond regular annual defense appropriations passed the House before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-32 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-32 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $44.41
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-32 House election?Yes 38.1%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-32 House election by 45% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-32 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?

Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?

K 2.0K contracts
Will Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?Yes 79.5%
Will SP-Congress alliance win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?Yes 20.5%
Will Bahujan Samaj Party win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?Yes 2.5%
3 mktsNext deadline May 21, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 20, 2026

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 20, 2026

PM $40
Will Oklahoma have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 89.5%
Will Arizona have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 50.5%
Will Alabama have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 50%
+37 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pete Hoekstra out as US Ambassador to Canada?

Pete Hoekstra out as US Ambassador to Canada?

K 2.0K contracts
Will Pete Hoekstra be out as US Ambassador to Canada before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 28%
Will Pete Hoekstra be out as US Ambassador to Canada before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 17%
Will Pete Hoekstra be out as US Ambassador to Canada before Jan 26, 2027?Yes 12%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

WA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $38.96
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-09 House election?Yes 38.1%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-09 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-09 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-15 House winner?

NY-15 House winner?

K 2.0K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-15?Yes 97.6%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-15?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?

Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?

PM $21
Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 12th District margin of victory

New York's 12th District margin of victory

K 2.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?Yes 81%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 60 percentage points?Yes 67%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine?

Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine?

PM $20.02
Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-09 House election: Darren Soto vote percent

FL-09 House election: Darren Soto vote percent

K 2.0K contracts
Will Darren Soto receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-09 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Darren Soto receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-09 House election?Yes 79.5%
Will Darren Soto receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-09 House election?Yes 68.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-20 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-20 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $20
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-20 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-20 House election?Yes 38.1%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-20 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Visa say during their next earnings call?

What will Visa say during their next earnings call?

K 2.0K contracts
What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Stablecoin / Stable Coin (3+ times))Yes 96.5%
What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? (International (3+ times))Yes 91%
What will Visa Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Blockchain)Yes 76.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

PM $15
California Public Campaign Financing PropositionYes 31%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
ME-01 House election: Chellie Pingree vote percent (1st Round)

ME-01 House election: Chellie Pingree vote percent (1st Round)

K 2.0K contracts
Will Chellie Pingree receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Chellie Pingree receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 79.5%
Will Chellie Pingree receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?Yes 62.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-08 House Election Margin of Victory

VA-08 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $6.34
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-08 House election?Yes 38.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-08 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 38%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-08 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-17 House election: Matthew Montavon vote percent

FL-17 House election: Matthew Montavon vote percent

K 2.0K contracts
Will Matthew Montavon receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-17 House election?Yes 97%
Will Matthew Montavon receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-17 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Matthew Montavon receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-17 House election?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-09 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-09 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $1.69
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 39.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 30% or more?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Australian Senate election winner?

Australian Senate election winner?

K 2.0K contracts
Who will win the next Australian Senate election? (Australian Labor Party)Yes 70%
Who will win the next Australian Senate election? (Liberal-National Coalition)Yes 14.5%
Will One Nation win the next Australian Senate election? (One Nation)Yes 4.9%
+1 moreNext deadline May 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will another state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?

Will another state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?

PM $0
Will another state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?Yes 47.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Hampshire Senate election: John Sununu vote percent

New Hampshire Senate election: John Sununu vote percent

K 2.0K contracts
Will John Sununu receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election?Yes 97.5%
Will John Sununu receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election?Yes 95.5%
Will John Sununu receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election?Yes 85.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kentucky Governor Democratic Primary Winner (2027)

Kentucky Governor Democratic Primary Winner (2027)

PM $0
Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Kentucky Governor?Yes 65%
Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Kentucky Governor?Yes 34.5%
2 mktsNext deadline May 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota's 5th District margin of victory

Minnesota's 5th District margin of victory

K 2.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 5th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?Yes 88.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 5th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?Yes 78%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 5th District House election be at least 53 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-30 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-30 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $0
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-30 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-30 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-30 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-25 House winner?

CA-25 House winner?

K 2.0K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-25?Yes 95.6%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-25?Yes 4.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-31 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-31 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $0
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-31 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-31 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-31 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026?

How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026?

K 2.0K contracts
Will between 3 and 9 people be pardoned in Oct 2026?Yes 51%
Will exactly 2 people be pardoned in Oct 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will between 25 and 99 people be pardoned in Oct 2026?Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-25 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-25 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 39.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 38%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
HI-02 House election: Jill Tokuda vote percent

HI-02 House election: Jill Tokuda vote percent

K 2.0K contracts
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?Yes 96%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-22 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-22 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-22 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 39.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-22 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 39.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-22 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 39%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AL-02 House election: Rhett Marques vote percent

AL-02 House election: Rhett Marques vote percent

K 1.9K contracts
Will Rhett Marques receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 97%
Will Rhett Marques receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 95%
Will Rhett Marques receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 86.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-14 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-14 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-14 House election by 12% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-14 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-14 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia's 5th District margin of victory

Virginia's 5th District margin of victory

K 1.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 24%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 10.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 6%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-12 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-12 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-12 House election by 25% or more?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-12 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-12 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 24th District margin of victory

New York's 24th District margin of victory

K 1.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 24th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-45 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-45 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $0
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-45 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-45 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-45 House election by 5% or more?Yes 39.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC