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Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Jan 1, 2027?

Yes 16.5%

Vol738.74 contracts

SnapshotOct 30, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

Yes 16.5%

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Event

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Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Jan 1, 2027?

Part of: How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

YesYes Price

16.5¢

VolTotal Volume

738.74 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 3, 2027, 12:35 AM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Jan 1, 2027?

Yes

16.5¢

Vol

738.74 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes16.5¢

No83.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 16.5%. Snapshot Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Jan 1, 2027? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 3, 2027, 12:35 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.39% on any business day between Oct 6, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market covers the period between Oct 6, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.

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Resolution Info