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Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.88% by Oct 30, 2026?

Yes 12.0%

Vol571 contracts

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 12.0%

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Event

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Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.88% by Oct 30, 2026?

Part of: How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

YesYes Price

12.0¢

VolTotal Volume

571 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 1, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.88% by Oct 30, 2026?

Yes

12.0¢

Vol

571 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes12.0¢

No88.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 12.0%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.88% by Oct 30, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.88% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

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Resolution Info