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Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026?

Yes 72.0%

Vol953.11 contracts

SnapshotOct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC

Yes 72.0%

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Event

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Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026?

Part of: How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

YesYes Price

72.0¢

VolTotal Volume

953.11 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 1, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC

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Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026?

Yes

72.0¢

Vol

953.11 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes72.0¢

No28.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 72.0%. Snapshot Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.40% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.

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Resolution Info