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Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?

Yes 23.5%

Vol11.4K contracts

SnapshotOct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Yes 23.5%

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Event

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Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?

Part of: Alaska Senate election margin of victory

YesYes Price

23.5¢

VolTotal Volume

11.4K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jun 2, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?

Yes

23.5¢

Vol

11.4K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes23.5¢

No76.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 23.5%. Snapshot Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jun 2, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mary Peltola runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mary Peltola will be summed. If Mary Peltola wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Mary Peltola loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Mary Peltola ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Mary Peltola is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Resolution Info