What is the current price for "Alaska Senate election margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 92.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Alaska Senate election margin of victory"?

There are 10 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Alaska Senate election margin of victory

Yes25%

Vol$0.00

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25%

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Single EventKALSHIElections

Alaska Senate election margin of victory

Name: Alaska Senate election margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T07:59:28.549Z
End: 2026-08-09T07:59:28.549Z

Part of: Alaska Senate election margin of victory

On Jun 2, 2026 If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within X to Y inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to

YesLeading Yes Probability

25%

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Alaska Senate election margin of victory

Yes

25%

Vol

$0.00

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10 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?

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All Markets(10)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?	25%
Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?	17%
Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?	12%
Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?	10%
Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 9% and 12%?	9%

Markets (10)

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Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?

If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final

Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?

If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final

Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final

Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 9% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 6% and 9%?

If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final

Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 6% and 9%?

If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 9% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final

Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be above 12%?

If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the fin

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be above 12%?

If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the fin

Alaska Senate election margin of victory

Alaska Senate election margin of victory

Alaska Senate election margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (10)

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?

Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 9% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 6% and 9%?

Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 6% and 9%?

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 9% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be above 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be above 12%?

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