BackKKALSHI

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 6% and 9%?

Yes 15.0%

Vol4.6K contracts

SnapshotOct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Yes 15.0%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 6% and 9%?

Part of: Alaska Senate election margin of victory

YesYes Price

15.0¢

VolTotal Volume

4.6K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jun 2, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 6% and 9%?

Yes

15.0¢

Vol

4.6K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes15.0¢

No85.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 15.0%. Snapshot Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 6% and 9%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jun 2, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mary Peltola runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mary Peltola will be summed. If Mary Peltola wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Mary Peltola loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Mary Peltola ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Mary Peltola is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Read this contract on Kalshi

Resolution Info