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Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 3% and 6%?

Yes 37.0%

Vol15.9K contracts

SnapshotOct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC

Yes 37.0%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 3% and 6%?

Part of: Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

YesYes Price

37.0¢

VolTotal Volume

15.9K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 25, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 3% and 6%?

Yes

37.0¢

Vol

15.9K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes37.0¢

No63.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 37.0%. Snapshot Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 3% and 6%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 25, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 3% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the share of valid votes (votos válidos, excluding blank and null votes) received by the candidate named in the market minus the share received by the other candidate in the runoff if the named candidate wins, or the share of the candidate that finishes first if the named candidate loses. If the named candidate wins, the margin will be positive; if the named candidate loses, the margin will be negative; if the named candidate ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Resolution Info