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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win São Paulo in the Brazil presidential runoff?

Yes 26.0%

Vol0 contracts

SnapshotOct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 26.0%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win São Paulo in the Brazil presidential runoff?

Part of: Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?

YesYes Price

26.0¢

VolTotal Volume

0 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 25, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win São Paulo in the Brazil presidential runoff?

Yes

26.0¢

Vol

0 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes26.0¢

No74.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 26.0%. Snapshot Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win São Paulo in the Brazil presidential runoff? · Yes

No historical data available

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 25, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO. The state of São Paulo is the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) results unit for votes cast in São Paulo state; ranking uses its runoff totals, regardless of the national result. Votes cast abroad are not part of any state. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Resolution Info