Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?
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Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?
K 0 contracts
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Flávio Bolsonaro at 74%.
Kalshi
- Flávio Bolsonaro74%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva26%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
2
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 25, 2026 On Oct 25, 2026 Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally, 1/number of tied entities. Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO. The state of São Paulo is the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE, results unit for votes cast in São Paulo state; ranking uses its runoff totals, regardless of the national result. Votes cast abroad are not part of any state. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in São Paulo
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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